Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 20

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Jiading Stadium (Shanghai)


	Ningbo Professional		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.1	2.15
	3	3.1	2.25
	3.08	3.15	2.29
	3.03	3.13	2.29	Watch
	3.05	3.05	2.27
	3	3.1	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.76)	3.11 ↓ (3.24)	2.25 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ningbo Professional
30.1%

Draw
29.4%

Guangzhou Evergrande
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

28.4%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

28.8%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ningbo Professional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ningbo Professional's performance.

Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Evergrande might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ningbo Professional than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ningbo Professional that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou Evergrande could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Ningbo Professional - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lin Xiang (G) 20. Qi Xinlei 35. Yang Guiyan 14. Liu Shuai 5. Qiu Tianyi 38. Li Suda 7. Magno Cruz 8. Gong Chunjie 4. Bao Shengxin 10. Etti E. 31. Dominic Vinicius	32. Huo S. (G) 15. Xu Bin 18. Liao Jintao 8. Sadauskas R. 5. Wang Shilong 6. Hou Yu 14. Wu Yongqiang 28. Penaloza J. 19. Wu Junjie 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 24. Qurban W.
Substitutes
25. Bu Xin 30. Erkin Ababekri 12. Lai Jinfeng (G) 18. Lin Chaocan 28. Li Ruiyue 6. Liu Boyang 33. Li Yan 9. Shi Jian 26. Su Shihao 29. Yan Yiming 3. Yao Ben 16. Yu Longyun	1. Askhan (G) 30. Bai Yutao 4. Chen Quanjiang 22. Li Jiahao 13. Wang Jie 27. Wang Junyang 2. Wang Wenxuan 23. Yang Dejiang 17. Yang Hao 12. Yasin Islam 29. Zhang Dachi 16. Zhang Zhixiong
Coaches
Yang Lin	Suay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Qi Xinlei 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 0 - 1, Qurban W. ⚽, Penaloza J. (A),
66', Qurban W. ↓, Yang Hao ↑,
66', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Bai Yutao ↑,
71', Yang Guiyan ↓, Yao Ben ↑,
71', Etti E. ↓, Bu Xin ↑,
77', Li Suda ↓, Erkin Ababekri ↑,
78', Liu Shuai ↓, Shi Jian ↑,
79', Wu Yongqiang ↓, Zhang Zhixiong ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Bai Yutao ⚽, Wu Junjie (A),
87', Wu Junjie ↓, Yasin Islam ↑,
87', Penaloza J. ↓, Wang Wenxuan ↑,
88', Qi Xinlei ↓, Li Yan ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Guangzhou Evergrande will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Shanghai Jiading Huilong won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Shanghai Jiading Huilong won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ningbo Professional
Chinese Jia League
18.08.24	Yanbian Longding - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Liaoning Tieren - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	Ningbo Professional - Jiangxi Lushan	3:1 ✺
06.07.24	Nanjing City - Ningbo Professional	0:0 ✺
30.06.24	Ningbo Professional - Dalian Young Boy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTWTT
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
17.08.24	Yunnan Yukun - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Foshan Nanshi	3:0 ✺
14.07.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:3 ✺
29.06.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
05.04.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Ningbo Professional	2:1
05.11.23	Ningbo Professional - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0
22.07.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Ningbo Professional	0:0

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