Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 18

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Tianhe Stadium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou Evergrande		Foshan Nanshi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.8	5
	1.53	4	5
	1.51	4	6
	1.5	3.99	5.88	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.51	4	5.41	Watch
	1.54	3.95	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.73)	3.95 ↑ (3.48)	5.4 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Evergrande
60.1%

Draw
23.1%

Foshan Nanshi
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

26.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

26%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangzhou Evergrande's performance.

Foshan Nanshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangzhou Evergrande that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Guangzhou Evergrande - Foshan Nanshi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Huo S. (G) 15. Xu Bin 8. Sadauskas R. 18. Liao Jintao 5. Wang Shilong 19. Wu Junjie 16. Zhang Zhixiong 6. Hou Yu 28. Penaloza J. 9. Alegria J. 7. Kurban Eysajan	12. Yang Chao (G) 38. Zhang Ran 23. Wen Junjie 17. Maslac M. 6. Gong Qiule 39. Li Bowen 5. Che Shiwei 36. Chang Feiya 10. Aguila R. 30. Huang Chuqi 27. Fortes C.
Substitutes
11. Aniwar Abduwahap 4. Chen Quanjiang 22. Li Jiahao 3. Liu Langzhou 24. Qurban W. 13. Wang Jie 27. Wang Junyang 21. Wang Shijie 14. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Yang Dejiang 17. Yang Hao	21. Cui Xinglong 1. Gao Y. (G) 45. Huang Wei 8. Huang Y. 41. Ou X. 37. Qin H. (G) 24. Song Runtong 33. Wu Y. 31. Yao H. 26. Yao-hsing Y. 22. Ye Z. 28. Zhang Z.
Coaches
Suay S.	Torres Mestre V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Zhang Zhixiong ⚽, Alegria J. (A),
10', Li Bowen 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Alegria J. ⚽, Wu Junjie (A),
45+2', 3 - 0, Alegria J. ⚽, Kurban Eysajan (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Che Shiwei ↓, Wu Y. ↑,
46', Huang Chuqi ↓, Yao-hsing Y. ↑,
60', Aguila R. ↓, Song Runtong ↑,
68', Gong Qiule 🟨,
71', Gong Qiule ↓, Yao H. ↑,
77', Maslac M. 🟨,
78', Li Bowen ↓, Huang Wei ↑,
81', Kurban Eysajan ↓, Liu Langzhou ↑,
81', Zhang Zhixiong ↓, Wang Junyang ↑,
82', Xu Bin 🟨,
86', Penaloza J. ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
86', Wu Junjie ↓, Qurban W. ↑,
90+2', Alegria J. ↓, Li Jiahao ↑,
90+4', Wang Junyang 🟥,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Guangzhou Evergrande is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
14.07.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0 ✺
06.07.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:3 ✺
29.06.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	Yanbian Longding - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:2 ✺
09.06.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Liaoning Tieren	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTTL
- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
14.07.24	Foshan Nanshi - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Yunnan Yukun - Foshan Nanshi	2:0 ✺
30.06.24	Foshan Nanshi - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Foshan Nanshi - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Liaoning Tieren - Foshan Nanshi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
25.03.24	Foshan Nanshi - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1

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