Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 17

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Yutong International Sports Center (Shijiazhuang)


	Shijiazhuang Gongfu		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.2
	2	3.5	3.2
	2.04	3.58	3.24
	2.04	3.52	3.19	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.25
	1.98	3.45	3.32	Watch
	2.01	3.4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.83)	3.44 ↓ (3.6)	3.24 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
45.5%

Draw
26.4%

Guangzhou Evergrande
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

25.4%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

24.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-3%)

Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Li Guanxi (G) 2. Zhang Chenliang 15. Xu Yue 10. An Yifei 19. Liu H. 20. Liu Le 25. Abdukerim O. 28. Bouli R. 8. Ayovi J. 33. Wang Song 39. Erikys	31. Wu Zitong (G) 15. Xu Bin 13. Wang Jie 18. Liao Jintao 5. Wang Shilong 27. Wang Junyang 16. Zhang Zhixiong 6. Hou Yu 24. Qurban W. 19. Wu Junjie 7. Kurban Eysajan
Substitutes
17. Abdusalam A. 24. Chen Zhexuan 29. Fu Shang 14. Ma Chongchong 18. Ma Shuai 32. Nan Yunqi 1. Nie Xuran (G) 4. Pan Kui 5. Song Zhiwei 37. Zhang Sipeng (G) 3. Zhang Yixuan	11. Aniwar Abduwahap 30. Bai Yutao 32. Huo S. (G) 3. Liu Langzhou 28. Penaloza J. 8. Sadauskas R. 21. Wang Shijie 2. Wang Wenxuan 14. Wu Yongqiang 23. Yang Dejiang 17. Yang Hao 29. Zhang Dachi
Coaches
Jankovic Z.	Suay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Liu H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Xu Yue ↓, Abdusalam A. ↑,
46', Abdukerim O. ↓, Ma Chongchong ↑,
46', Wang Junyang ↓, Wang Shijie ↑,
60', Kurban Eysajan ↓, Yang Hao ↑,
60', Qurban W. ↓, Aniwar Abduwahap ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Zhang Chenliang ⚽, Wang Song (A),
69', Xu Bin 🟨,
79', Zhang Chenliang ↓, Song Zhiwei ↑,
79', Xu Bin ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
80', Wu Junjie ↓, Zhang Dachi ↑,
83', Ayovi J. ↓, Nan Yunqi ↑,
83', Wang Song ↓, Pan Kui ↑,
88', Nan Yunqi 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 8 and 6).

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guangzhou Evergrande is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shijiazhuang Gongfu will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
06.07.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Wuxi Wugou	2:4 ✺
29.06.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao West Coast	2:3 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Ningbo Professional	0:0 ✺
08.06.24	Yunnan Yukun - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
06.07.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:3 ✺
29.06.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	Yanbian Longding - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:2 ✺
09.06.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Liaoning Tieren	1:3 ✺
02.06.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
17.03.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	3:1
20.08.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:3
10.05.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:0

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