Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 15

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Tianhe Stadium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou Evergrande		Nanjing City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.3	3.1
	2	3.4	3.25
	2.04	3.4	3.47
	1.98	3.4	3.45
	1.95	3.4	3.3
	1.96	3.44	3.38	Watch
	2	3.35	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)	3.38 ↑ (3.25)	3.32 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Evergrande
45.7%

Draw
26.9%

Nanjing City
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.4%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Guangzhou Evergrande aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Guangzhou Evergrande - Nanjing City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Wu Zitong (G) 15. Xu Bin 8. Sadauskas R. 5. Wang Shilong 16. Zhang Zhixiong 28. Penaloza J. 27. Wang Junyang 7. Kurban Eysajan 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 9. Alegria J. 14. Wu Yongqiang	21. Qi Yuxi (G) 17. Meng Zhen 26. Liu Jiahui 27. Wang Hao 9. Yang He 28. Ling Jie 6. Wang Haoran 22. Huang Peng 11. Matheus Moresche 19. Huang Zhenfei 20. Ogbu M.
Substitutes
30. Bai Yutao 4. Chen Quanjiang 32. Huo S. (G) 22. Li Jiahao 24. Qurban W. 13. Wang Jie 2. Wang Wenxuan 19. Wu Junjie 23. Yang Dejiang 17. Yang Hao 12. Yasin Islam 29. Zhang Dachi	14. Ding Yunfeng 2. Dujardin A. 16. Gong Hankui 15. Jiang Shichao 18. Nan Xiaoheng 10. Onuegbu K. 12. Shi Lishan 33. Sun Enming 8. Wei Yuren 24. Zhang Yu 13. Zheng Hao (G) 31. Zhu Qiwen
Coaches
Suay S.	Cortez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Wang Hao ⚽, Yang He (A),
28', Liu Jiahui 🟨,
40', Yang He 🟨,
45+3', Ling Jie 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Meng Zhen ↓, Jiang Shichao ↑,
46', Wang Haoran ↓, Sun Enming ↑,
50', Sun Enming 🟨,
61', Wu Yongqiang ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
61', Kurban Eysajan ↓, Qurban W. ↑,
65', Sadauskas R. 🟨,
70', Zhang Zhixiong ↓, Wang Wenxuan ↑,
72', Liu Jiahui ↓, Dujardin A. ↑,
78', Wang Junyang ↓, Yang Dejiang ↑,
78', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Yang Hao ↑,
80', Ling Jie ↓, Shi Lishan ↑,
85', Jiang Shichao 🟨,
87', Matheus Moresche ↓, Zhu Qiwen ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Yang Hao ⚽,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8).

Recent matches Guangzhou Evergrande is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nanjing City is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guangzhou Evergrande could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Guangzhou Evergrande have a series of guest games.

Guangzhou Evergrande will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou Evergrande won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
16.06.24	Yanbian Longding - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:2 ✺
09.06.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Liaoning Tieren	1:3 ✺
02.06.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:5 ✺
25.05.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:4 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.05.24	Shaanxi Union - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLWWL
- Nanjing City FC
Chinese FA Cup
23.06.24	Nanjing City - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Nanjing City - Qingdao Red Lions	2:1 ✺
09.06.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Nanjing City	2:2 ✺
02.06.24	Nanjing City - Dalian Young Boy	2:0 ✺
25.05.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
09.09.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Nanjing City	1:1
28.05.23	Nanjing City - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:2

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