Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 9

Date: 10 June 2023, Saturday


	Ningbo Professional		Jinan Xingzhou

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.7	3.2	1.9
	3.43	3.04	2.03
	3.75	3	2
	3.6	3.4	1.99
	3.6	3.2	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.97)	3.16 ↑ (3.01)	1.97 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ningbo Professional
25.3%

Draw
28.7%

Jinan Xingzhou
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

30.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

29.8%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ningbo Professional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ningbo Professional's form might have worsened.

Jinan Xingzhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jinan Xingzhou's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ningbo Professional than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jinan Xingzhou than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jinan Xingzhou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Ningbo Professional - Jinan Xingzhou Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ningbo Professional will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Jinan Xingzhou will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jinan Xingzhou: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lin Xiang (G) 3. Li S. 17. Mensah J. 38. Tu Dongxu 26. Wu Hang 23. Wu Yufan 5. Gao Le 10. Etti E. 14. Liu Shuai 7. Xi Sunbin 31. Feng Gang	16. Deng Xiaofei (G) 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 14. Sunzu S. 17. Xu Jizu 19. Ma Chongchong 7. Zhang Yuanshu 8. Sang Yifei 10. Wang Zihao 18. Tambe R. 28. Zhong Weihong 9. Lu Yongtao
Substitutes
45. Abdushukur E. 43. Asante F. 16. Liang P. 18. Lin Chaocan 39. Li X. 11. Li Xin 9. Sun Yue 15. Wang Jinze 33. Xu H. 12. Yang Chao (G) 35. Yang G. 22. Zhang J.	35. Lin Dai 12. Li Suda 4. Liu Boyang 1. Mu Qianyu (G) 11. Odo M. 5. Song Bowei 6. Song Yi 31. Tan Tiancheng 15. Wang Tong 29. Wu Junhao 37. Yi Xianlong 41. Zeng Yaozhang

Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 8).

Shanghai Jiading Huilong has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Jinan Xingzhou is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jinan Xingzhou will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Jinan Xingzhou to win the game is with odds 1.96.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ningbo Professional
Chinese Jia League
04.06.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Ningbo Professional	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
31.05.23	Hunan Billows - Ningbo Professional	1:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
27.05.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Ningbo Professional	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Ningbo Professional - Suzhou Dongwu	1:5 ✺
13.05.23	Ningbo Professional - Qingdao West Coast	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Jinan Xingzhou
Chinese Jia League
04.06.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jinan Xingzhou	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
30.05.23	Zibo Qisheng - Jinan Xingzhou	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
27.05.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Jiangxi Lushan	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Jinan Xingzhou	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWWL

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