Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 18

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: City Stadium (Dolbizno)


	Niva Dolbizno		Slutsk

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.45	1.85
	3.6	3.35	1.75
	4.1	3.8	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (2.28)	3.53 ↓ (4)	1.74 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 12.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niva Dolbizno
24.5%

Draw
24.9%

Slutsk
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

22.7%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

22.3%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niva Dolbizno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Niva Dolbizno's form might have worsened.

Slutsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Slutsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niva Dolbizno than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niva Dolbizno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slutsk than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Slutsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dovnar N. (G) 3. Druchik M. 23. Fedortsov D. (C) 7. Galuza D. 62. Gordeychuk M. 88. Kozel R. 9. Kuratnik A. 21. Leshkevich N. 4. Milyutin V. 77. Shubovich V. 47. Skomarovskiy V.	35. Robak N. (G) 11. Fedosov V. 77. Kontsedailov A. 27. Kurlovich V. 97. Papava V. 15. Rum A. (C) 16. Semenov A. 44. Shkondin A. 21. Sidor I. 6. Tolkin A. 10. Tseslyukevich P.
Substitutes
10. Dybin V. 98. Karpuk A. 35. Kashtelyan D. (G) 26. Kontsevoy S. 20. Martysevich A. 69. Mashagin E. 15. Monich I. 29. Pampukha P. 41. Tkhagalegov A.	8. Blotskiy A. 30. Branovets I. (G) 19. Bylinkin N. 45. Chebotar V. 5. Chuduk A. 4. Kirbay D. 25. Kulchitskiy V. 17. Nekrashevich D. 9. Sychev V. 3. Tseluyko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Kuratnik A. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Kontsedailov A. ⚽, Fedosov V. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Fedortsov D. ⚽, Galuza D. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Fedortsov D. ⚽,
41', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
78', 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga).

Niva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Slutsk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Slutsk	27	17	6	4	56:28	28	57
2	Niva Dolbizno	27	17	4	6	67:31	36	55

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niva Dolbizno
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
31.07.26	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Niva Dolbizno	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Niva Dolbizno - Ostrovets	2:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
18.07.26	Niva Dolbizno - Gomel	2:3 AET ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.07.26	Slonim - Niva Dolbizno	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Niva Dolbizno - BATE 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLTW
- FC Slutsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
31.07.26	Slutsk - SKA-1938	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Soligorsk - Slutsk	2:2 ✺
11.07.26	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Slutsk	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Slutsk - Ostrovets	1:1 ✺
27.06.26	Slonim - Slutsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTWTL

Niva Dolbizno - Slutsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide