Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 16

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: City Stadium (Dolbizno)


	Niva Dolbizno		Ostrovets

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.45	3.9
	1.49	4.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.69)	3.78 ↓ (4.1)	4.35 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 12.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niva Dolbizno
56.3%

Draw
23.4%

Ostrovets
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

22.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

21.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niva Dolbizno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Ostrovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niva Dolbizno than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostrovets than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kashtelyan D. (G) 23. Fedortsov D. 7. Galuza D. 88. Kozel R. 9. Kuratnik A. 21. Leshkevich N. 4. Milyutin V. 15. Monich I. 29. Pampukha P. 18. Shcherbo V. 8. Sibilev D.	1. Frolov I. (G) 11. Boychenko M. 8. Davidovich A. 18. Davyskiba R. 10. Goncharik K. 21. Kilyimanov A. 44. Krivtsov G. 17. Medvedev R. 19. Mikhey E. 14. Mokshin I. 7. Zaytsev I.
Substitutes
12. Belov R. (G) 99. Bondarenko V. 3. Druchik M. 10. Dybin V. 20. Martysevich A. 69. Mashagin E. 77. Shubovich V. 47. Skomarovskiy V. 41. Tkhagalegov A.	82. Drozd V. (G) 9. Fedosenko A. 15. Gonzhurov A. 23. Isachenko E. 22. Kalinovskiy M. 2. Merkulov D. 4. Prudnik D. 81. Skripnik G. 97. Tsyk D. 20. Zhernosek G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Shcherbo V. 🟥,
57', Kilyimanov A. 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Fedortsov D. (Penalty Awarded),
66', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 0, Bondarenko V. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niva won 3.

Niva is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ostrovets has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Niva is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Niva won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Niva won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Niva Dolbizno	27	17	4	6	67:31	36	55
10	Ostrovets	27	8	11	8	37:39	-2	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niva Dolbizno
Belarusian Cup
18.07.26	Niva Dolbizno - Gomel	2:3 AET ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.07.26	Slonim - Niva Dolbizno	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Niva Dolbizno - BATE 2	5:0 ✺
27.06.26	Uni X Labs Minsk - Niva Dolbizno	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Niva Dolbizno - Molodechno	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTWWW
- FC Ostrovets
Belarusian Cup
18.07.26	Ostrovets - Vitebsk	2:3 ET ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.07.26	Ostrovets - SKA-1938	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Slutsk - Ostrovets	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Ostrovets - Dinamo Minsk 2	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Soligorsk - Ostrovets	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
04.10.25	Ostrovets - Niva Dolbizno	1:2
01.06.25	Niva Dolbizno - Ostrovets	2:1
02.11.24	Niva Dolbizno - Ostrovets	1:0
07.07.24	Ostrovets - Niva Dolbizno	3:3
28.10.23	Niva Dolbizno - Ostrovets	1:1
24.06.23	Ostrovets - Niva Dolbizno	1:1

Niva Dolbizno - Ostrovets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide