Match Info
Serie D - Group H - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 11 May 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Nocerina |
|
Città di Fasano |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.58 |
3.5 |
5 |
|
 |
1.63 |
3.6 |
4.8 |
|
 |
1.66 |
3.51 |
4.57 |
|
 |
1.63 |
3.63 |
4.98 |
|
 |
1.61 |
3.54 |
5.12 |
|
 |
1.63 |
3.6 |
4.8 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62
(1.62) |
3.56 ↓
(3.6) |
4.88 ↑
(4.84) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nocerina
55.9% | Draw
25.5% | Città di Fasano
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nocerina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Città di Fasano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (-1%)Nocerina - Città di Fasano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Losavio F. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Marquez F. ⚽,
- 34', 2 - 1, Marquez F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 65', 2 - 2, Losavio F. ⚽,
- 76', 3 - 2, Marquez F. ⚽,
- 90', 4 - 2, Gerbaudo M. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nocerina won 2.Nocerina has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Città di Fasano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Città di Fasano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Nocerina is a strong favorite.We predict that Nocerina will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nocerina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 2:2.8).Including home matches between the teams, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group H | | | 24.11.24 | Nocerina - Città di Fasano | 1:1 | | 06.04.23 | Città di Fasano - Nocerina | 2:3 | | 27.11.22 | Nocerina - Città di Fasano | 3:2 | | 03.04.22 | Nocerina - Città di Fasano | 0:2 | | 21.11.21 | Città di Fasano - Nocerina | 6:1 | | 10.11.19 | Nocerina - Città di Fasano | 4:4 |
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