Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Nola		Città di Fasano

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.09	2.37
	2.77	3.19	2.39	Watch
	2.7	3	2.3
	2.81	3.1	2.37
	2.8	3.1	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.74)	3.1 ↓ (3.25)	2.36 (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nola
32.6%

Draw
29.2%

Città di Fasano
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28.1%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

27.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Città di Fasano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nola than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Fasano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Nola - Città di Fasano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Salzano A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 0 - 2, Salzano A. ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, Peluso M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

Nola has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fasano is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nola won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Nola won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Nola 1925
Italian Serie D - Group H
18.01.26	Afragolese - Nola	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Nola - Real Normanna	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Gravina - Nola	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Martina Calcio - Nola	3:0 ✺
14.12.25	Nola - Paganese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWLL
- US Città di Fasano
Italian Serie D - Group H
18.01.26	Città di Fasano - Heraclea	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Città di Fasano - Gravina	4:0 ✺
04.01.26	Afragolese - Città di Fasano	2:3 ✺
21.12.25	Paganese - Città di Fasano	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Città di Fasano - Real Normanna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
24.09.25	Città di Fasano - Nola	3:0
24.04.22	Nola - Città di Fasano	2:1
08.12.21	Città di Fasano - Nola	1:1
24.03.19	Città di Fasano - Nola	4:3

Nola - Città di Fasano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide