Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 26

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: BG Stadium (Pathum Thani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Pathum United		Ratchaburi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.1	3.3	3	Watch
	2.08	3.65	3.37
	2.1	3.48	3.1	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.14	3.54	3.13	Watch
	2.1	3.35	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.08)	3.37 ↑ (3.27)	3.13 ↓ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pathum United
43.7%

Draw
27.1%

Ratchaburi
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

27.8%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

27.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-1%)

Pathum United - Ratchaburi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Anuin S. (G) 15. Matsuda R. 44. Dolah E. 16. Sandokhadze N. 29. Jamnongwat W. 6. Yooyen S. (C) 17. Notsuda G. 5. Kaman K. 27. Jantawong P. 7. Raniel 18. Songkrasin C.	99. Pathomakkakul K. (G) 5. Ting D. 15. Promrak A. 4. Khemdee J. 27. Curran J. 37. Srisuwan K. 8. Suengchitthawon T. (C) 7. Deni Junior 6. Tana 11. Negueba 9. Gleyson
Substitutes
89. Buaphan C. 14. Doi T. 11. Gustavsson P. 49. Inthacharoen N. (G) 22. James N. 2. Nonthasila S. 8. Panya E. 24. Pimoytha T. 9. Sareepim S. 31. Takagi Y. 30. Tippanet I. 47. Wongsawang N.	77. Bolkiah F. 23. Deeromram K. 16. Jakkuprasat S. 28. Limwannasthian T. 19. Peenagatapho S. 88. Poomkaew C. 33. Promjan P. 89. Rakotoharimalala N. 97. Wongmeema U. (G) 18. Yoryoei T.
Coaches
Vujovic V.	Srimaka W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Gleyson ⚽, Negueba (A),
27', 0 - 2, Deni Junior ⚽, Curran J. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Sandokhadze N. ⚽, Matsuda R. (A),
45+5', Deni Junior 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jantawong P. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
46', Notsuda G. ↓, Doi T. ↑,
57', Promrak A. ↓, Deeromram K. ↑,
60', 2 - 2, Doi T. ⚽, Sandokhadze N. (A),
64', Srisuwan K. ↓, Limwannasthian T. ↑,
64', Deni Junior ↓, Rakotoharimalala N. ↑,
65', Matsuda R. ↓, Sareepim S. ↑,
68', Takagi Y. 🟨,
71', Negueba 🟨,
75', Raniel 🟨,
80', Raniel ↓, Panya E. ↑,
90+1', Kaman K. 🟨,
90+1', Khemdee J. 🟨,
90+2', Sandokhadze N. 🟨,
90+6', Negueba ↓, Poomkaew C. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 2.

Pathum United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ratchaburi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Pathum United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pathum United could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pathum United won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Pathum United	3	1	1	1	5:5	0	4
9	Ratchaburi	3	1	1	1	3:3	0	4

Last Results with these Odds

Pathum United - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.77%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BG Pathum United
Thai League Cup
18.03.26	Pathum United - Mahasarakham	3:0 ✺
Thai League 1
14.03.26	Rayong FC - Pathum United	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Pathum United - Chonburi	2:3 ✺
01.03.26	Pathum United - Sukhothai	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Ayutthaya United - Pathum United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTLWW
- Ratchaburi FC
Thai League 1
15.03.26	Ratchaburi - Ayutthaya United	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
11.03.26	Ratchaburi - Gamba Osaka	1:2 ET ✺
04.03.26	Gamba Osaka - Ratchaburi	1:1 ✺
Thai League 1
28.02.26	Ratchaburi - Uthai Thani	3:1 ✺
Thai FA Cup
25.02.26	Ayutthaya United - Ratchaburi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
22.11.25	Ratchaburi - Pathum United	0:0
15.01.25	Pathum United - Ratchaburi	1:2
25.08.24	Ratchaburi - Pathum United	4:1
04.05.24	Ratchaburi - Pathum United	0:1
Thai League Cup
24.04.24	Ratchaburi - Pathum United	0:3
Thai League 1
09.12.23	Pathum United - Ratchaburi	2:1
30.04.23	Pathum United - Ratchaburi	4:2

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