Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Tweede Divisie - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Duinwetering (Noordwijk)


	Noordwijk		ADO 20 Heemskerk

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	4.2
	1.61	4.1	4.3
	1.57	4.3	4.57
	1.59	4.51	4.66	Watch
	1.57	4.05	4.66
	1.61	4.1	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.67)	4.16 ↓ (4.26)	4.45 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noordwijk
57.5%

Draw
22%

ADO 20 Heemskerk
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

21.6%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

18.1%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noordwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ADO 20 Heemskerk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noordwijk than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noordwijk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO 20 Heemskerk than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ADO 20 Heemskerk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Noordwijk - ADO 20 Heemskerk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Antonioli R. (G) 26. Bosma S. 15. da Fonseca G. 16. El Kharbachi M. 17. Groot K. 20. Neto 40. Rietveld D. 5. Strooker J. 11. Tjin-Asjoe V. 9. van Staveren N. 31. Wendt E. (C)	22. Deen V. (G) 7. Blel Y. 6. Carbaat T. 30. George D. 8. Glim F. 10. Helder J. 4. Hirasingh Y. 16. Kaaijmolen N. 19. Kroon S. (C) 17. Prijor D. 27. Volkers L.
Substitutes
19. Bakker D. 14. Bakour M. 8. Franken B. 18. Marbus R. 6. Nhoca Barbosa J. 25. Roep A. 1. Schol B. (G)	29. Groothusen T. 21. Groot T. 11. Holtkamp S. 1. Langendijk S. (G) 14. Lute D. 18. van Esveld J. 23. Venrooy L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Neto ⚽, Tjin-Asjoe V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kaaijmolen N. ↓, Groothusen T. ↑,
47', Groot K. ↓, Nhoca Barbosa J. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Blel Y. ⚽,
65', Tjin-Asjoe V. ↓, Bakour M. ↑,
73', El Kharbachi M. ↓, Bakker D. ↑,
78', van Staveren N. ↓, Roep A. ↑,
83', George D. ↓, Venrooy L. ↑,
88', Blel Y. ↓, Holtkamp S. ↑,
88', Helder J. ↓, Lute D. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noordwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
19.10.24	Katwijk - Noordwijk	3:2 ✺
12.10.24	Noordwijk - ACV	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Excelsior Maassluis - Noordwijk	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Noordwijk - HHC Hardenberg	1:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
24.09.24	Noordwijk - HSV Hoek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLW
- ADO 20 Heemskerk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
19.10.24	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Quick Boys	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Scheveningen - ADO 20 Heemskerk	3:0 ✺
05.10.24	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Rijnsburgse Boys	0:5 ✺
28.09.24	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - ADO 20 Heemskerk	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
24.09.24	Genemuiden - ADO 20 Heemskerk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
04.05.24	Noordwijk - ADO 20 Heemskerk	2:2
25.11.23	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Noordwijk	1:1

Noordwijk - ADO 20 Heemskerk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide