Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 29

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Duinwetering (Noordwijk)


	Noordwijk		Amsterdamsche FC

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.7	2.2
	2.6	3.85	2.21
	2.6	3.88	2.36	Watch
	2.53	3.68	2.26
	2.6	3.85	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3.76)	3.79 ↓ (4.04)	2.25 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noordwijk
35.5%

Draw
24%

Amsterdamsche FC
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

22.7%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

22.4%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noordwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Noordwijk's performance.

Amsterdamsche FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amsterdamsche FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noordwijk than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noordwijk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amsterdamsche FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Noordwijk - Amsterdamsche FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Roggeveen J. (G) 20. Neto 15. da Fonseca G. 17. Groot K. 5. Strooker J. 26. Bosma S. 8. Franken B. 25. Roep A. 10. Reemnet R. 16. El Kharbachi M. 31. Wendt E.	21. Nolet D. (G) 23. van Rhijn R. 3. Markiet G. 15. van Weerdenburg G. 4. Ederveen S. 6. Benninga N. 8. Hoek M. 5. Claver C. 16. De Mooij S. 14. Klopper M. 28. Been W.
Substitutes
46. Antonioli R. (G) 14. Bakour M. 9. Hak J. 18. Marbus R. 3. Reinders D. 11. Tjin-Asjoe V. 4. Vink M.	24. Eliasar M. 11. Jesse M. 18. Linthorst T. 7. Platje M. 22. Tillema J. 10. van der Greft J. 1. van Zetten G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, De Mooij S. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Reemnet R. ⚽,
27', Franken B. 🟨,
38', 🟨,
45', Groot K. ↓, Reinders D. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Bosma S. 🟨,
59', 🟨,
63', Ederveen S. ↓, Tillema J. ↑,
63', Been W. ↓, Jesse M. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Wendt E. ⚽,
76', van Rhijn R. ↓, Linthorst T. ↑,
76', Benninga N. ↓, van der Greft J. ↑,
76', Franken B. ↓, Tjin-Asjoe V. ↑,
82', Roep A. ↓, Hak J. ↑,
84', Claver C. ↓, Eliasar M. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, De Mooij S. ⚽, Markiet G. (A),
90+3', 3 - 2, Tjin-Asjoe V. ⚽, Reemnet R. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Noordwijk won 1.

Recent matches Noordwijk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AFC is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

AFC will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Noordwijk won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:17 (average 1.4:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Noordwijk won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noordwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
05.04.25	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Noordwijk	0:3 ✺
22.03.25	Noordwijk - Katwijk	3:3 ✺
15.03.25	ACV - Noordwijk	1:6 ✺
08.03.25	Noordwijk - Excelsior Maassluis	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	HHC Hardenberg - Noordwijk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTWTL
- Amsterdamsche FC
Dutch Tweede Divisie
05.04.25	Amsterdamsche FC - Quick Boys	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Scheveningen - Amsterdamsche FC	0:3 ✺
15.03.25	Amsterdamsche FC - Rijnsburgse Boys	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Amsterdamsche FC	4:2 ✺
22.02.25	Amsterdamsche FC - Spakenburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
09.11.24	Amsterdamsche FC - Noordwijk	2:1
06.02.24	Amsterdamsche FC - Noordwijk	1:3
26.08.23	Noordwijk - Amsterdamsche FC	1:1
22.04.23	Amsterdamsche FC - Noordwijk	1:1
05.11.22	Noordwijk - Amsterdamsche FC	1:3
14.05.22	Noordwijk - Amsterdamsche FC	1:1
26.02.22	Amsterdamsche FC - Noordwijk	4:1

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