Match Info

ISRAEL: State Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel


	Nordia Jerusalem		MS Ashdod

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.48	4.3	1.49	Watch
	5.84	4.25	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.66 ↓ (7.25)	4.28 ↓ (4.6)	1.49 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordia Jerusalem
16.3%

Draw
21.6%

MS Ashdod
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

19.5%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

15.4%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordia Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

MS Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MS Ashdod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordia Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MS Ashdod than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MS Ashdod, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nordia Jerusalem - MS Ashdod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Levy B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
61', 0 - 2, Kanaan M. ⚽,
67', 0 - 3, Muche N. ⚽,
89', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Nordia Jerusalem is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ashdod is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ashdod could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ashdod is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nordia Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
10.01.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Jerusalem FC	3:1 ✺
07.01.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Nordia Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
02.01.25	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Nordia Jerusalem	0:6 ✺
Israeli State Cup
26.12.24	Hapoel Ra`anana - Nordia Jerusalem	2:4 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.12.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Shaarayim	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWWL
- MS Ashdod
Israeli Ligat haAl
12.01.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Hadera	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - MS Ashdod	5:1 ✺
31.12.24	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	3:5 ✺
Israeli State Cup
27.12.24	Hapoel Afula - MS Ashdod	3:4 ET ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
22.12.24	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - MS Ashdod	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLWL

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