Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 14

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday


	Nordia Jerusalem		Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	2.08	3.1	3.35
	2.04	3.18	3.26
	2.07	3.23	3.39	Watch
	2.11	2.98	3.45
	2.08	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.58)	3.12 ↑ (3.02)	3.32 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordia Jerusalem
43.7%

Draw
29%

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

29.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

29.5%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordia Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nordia Jerusalem's performance.

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maccabi Ironi Ashdod might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordia Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nordia Jerusalem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maccabi Ironi Ashdod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Mena P. 🟥,
81', 0 - 1, Masri A. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nordia Jerusalem won 0.

Nordia Jerusalem in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nordia Jerusalem will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nordia Jerusalem won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Nordia Jerusalem won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nordia Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.12.24	Hapoel Azor - Nordia Jerusalem	0:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
01.12.24	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Nordia Jerusalem	2:3 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
26.11.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Bnei Lod	3:0 ✺
08.11.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Nordia Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
05.11.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Marmorek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWTW
- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.12.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Tzeirei Tira	0:0 ✺
29.11.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:2 ✺
08.11.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Dimona	0:0 ✺
05.11.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Agudat Sport Ashdod	5:2 ✺
31.10.24	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
04.04.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:1
15.01.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Nordia Jerusalem	1:1
18.02.22	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:1
22.10.21	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Nordia Jerusalem	3:1
16.04.21	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Nordia Jerusalem	1:1
09.04.21	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:4
22.02.21	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Nordia Jerusalem	2:0

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