Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Noroeste		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	5	3.8	1.65
	4.5	3.6	1.63
	5	3.75	1.66
	4.5	3.5	1.64
	5.27	3.65	1.63
	5	3.6	1.57
	4.96	3.85	1.69
	5	3.75	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↑ (3.84)	3.69 ↑ (3.46)	1.64 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noroeste
18.8%

Draw
25%

Cuiabá
56.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24%

26.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

26.1%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Noroeste's form might have worsened.

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cuiabá's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cuiabá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Noroeste - Cuiabá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

In case of a draw away team advances.

Noroeste is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cuiabá is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Noroeste could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cuiabá is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
15.02.24	Porto Vitória - Noroeste	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Rio Branco-VN - Noroeste	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	Noroeste - Serra	5:1 ✺
04.02.24	Noroeste - Nova Venécia	1:1 ✺
31.01.24	Vitória ES - Noroeste	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTWTW
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
18.02.24	Academia Rondonópolis - Cuiabá	0:2 ✺
15.02.24	Cuiabá - Araguaia	3:0 ✺
08.02.24	Cuiabá - União Rondonópolis	1:1 ✺
05.02.24	Mixto - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
01.02.24	Luverdense - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie B
01.11.26	Cuiabá - São Bernardo	✺

Noroeste - Cuiabá

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Noroeste - Cuiabá Predictions

Preview

Form

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