Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 9

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Platinumcars Arena (Norrköping)

Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 4, Max, TV4 Play


	Norrköping		Degerfors

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.4	Watch
	1.78	3.7	4.1
	2.1	3.75	3.4	Watch
	2.17	3.68	3.47
	2.06	3.67	3.43	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.2
	2.03	3.57	3.37	Watch
	2.09	3.7	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.89)	3.67 ↓ (3.95)	3.59 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norrköping
47.5%

Draw
25.9%

Degerfors
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

22.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norrköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Degerfors than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64%	20%	16%

Norrköping - Degerfors Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Norrköping will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). Degerfors will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norrköping: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrköping (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Degerfors (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Andersson D. (G) 24. Eriksson A. 19. Watson M. 2. Peprah K. 21. Ceesay J. 11. Lushaku I. 9. Traustason A. 7. Fransson A. 15. Jorgensen S. 5. Nyman C. (C) 8. Sigurgeirsson I.	25. Forsell R. (G) 4. Hien L. 30. Morgado B. (C) 5. Pikkarainen J. 12. Lindell E. 16. Ohlsson S. 8. Girmai N. 2. Diaby M. 20. Barsoum E. 19. Faraj O. 10. Rafferty M.
Substitutes
28. Andersson A. 3. Baggesen M. 20. Bronner A. 25. Jansson K. 10. Karlsson D.M. 30. Krantz T. (G) 22. Prica T. 33. Ringsten H. 4. Sogaard A.	9. Fisic A. 18. Gronborg T. 23. Heden A. 1. Jakobsson W. (G) 17. Kassi L. 15. Moro N. 21. Pihlstrom E. 27. Salifu Z.
Coaches
Falk M.	Lundin W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Peprah K. 🟨,
17', Diaby M. 🟨,
19', Rafferty M. 🟨,
38', Girmai N. 🟨,
45+4', Eriksson A. 🟨,
45+7', Nyman C. ↓, Prica T. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Eriksson A. ↓, Baggesen M. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Pikkarainen J. ⚽, Ohlsson S. (A),
61', Fransson A. ↓, Bronner A. ↑,
61', Lushaku I. ↓, Karlsson D.M. ↑,
76', Rafferty M. ↓, Salifu Z. ↑,
76', Lindell E. 🟨,
82', Forsell R. 🟨,
83', Diaby M. ↓, Heden A. ↑,
83', Forsell R. ↓, Jakobsson W. ↑,
85', Traustason A. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Prica T. (Pen),
87', Pikkarainen J. 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Hien L. ⚽, Barsoum E. (A),
90+6', Ceesay J. ↓, Jansson K. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 3.

In recent matches, Norrköping has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Degerfors is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Norrköping is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S. (Inactive) Jansson K. (Inactive) Mitov D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Degerfors: Lundgren M. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Norrköping won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.05.25	Hammarby - Norrköping	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Norrköping - Häcken	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Värnamo - Norrköping	1:3 ✺
24.04.25	Norrköping - IFK Göteborg	2:3 ✺
19.04.25	Norrköping - Halmstad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLWLW
- Degerfors IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.05.25	Degerfors - Malmö	1:4 ✺
03.05.25	Degerfors - Sirius	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Mjällby - Degerfors	4:1 ✺
23.04.25	Häcken - Degerfors	3:4 ✺
19.04.25	Degerfors - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
23.03.25	Norrköping - Degerfors	2:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.07.23	Norrköping - Degerfors	1:0
08.05.23	Degerfors - Norrköping	0:2
06.08.22	Norrköping - Degerfors	2:0
09.07.22	Degerfors - Norrköping	1:1
28.11.21	Degerfors - Norrköping	4:1
13.05.21	Norrköping - Degerfors	1:1

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