Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 19

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Platinumcars Arena (Norrköping)

Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play


	Norrköping		Hammarby

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.62	Watch
	4.6	4.2	1.62
	4.75	4.35	1.62	Watch
	4.8	4.4	1.66
	4.23	3.95	1.74	Watch
	4.5	4	1.67
	4.74	4.45	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↑ (4.59)	4.22 ↑ (4.12)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norrköping
20.4%

Draw
22.4%

Hammarby
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

23.1%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

22.4%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norrköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	16.7%	79.2%

Norrköping - Hammarby Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Hammarby (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Hammarby (4.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Norrköping (3.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hammarby will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrköping (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Hammarby (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Andersson D. (G) 37. Neffati M. 19. Watson M. 4. Sogaard A. 3. Baggesen M. 25. Jansson K. 9. Traustason A. 28. Andersson A. 10. Karlsson D.M. 5. Nyman C. (C) 8. Sigurgeirsson I.	1. Hahn W. (G) 17. Fofana I. 4. Eriksson V. 6. Vagic P. 19. Pinas S. 8. Karlsson M. 5. Tekie T. 20. Besara N. (C) 26. Madjed M. 7. Abraham P. 18. Tounekti S.
Substitutes
18. Arnarsson J. 20. Bronner A. 24. Eriksson A. 7. Fransson A. 14. Kalley Y. 30. Krantz T. (G) 31. Lindvall J. 11. Lushaku I. 36. Rawufu M.	9. Erabi J. 27. Jakobsson F. (G) 28. Junior Adjei F. 13. Karlsson J. 15. Lahdo A. 22. Ortmark J. 2. Skoglund H. 21. Strand S. 3. Winther F.
Coaches
Falk M.	Hellberg K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Jansson K. 🟨,
36', Sigurgeirsson I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Besara N. ⚽,
52', Neffati M. 🟨,
64', 0 - 2, Fofana I. ⚽,
66', Andersson A. ↓, Arnarsson J. ↑,
66', Karlsson D.M. ↓, Lushaku I. ↑,
80', Tounekti S. ↓, Strand S. ↑,
84', Neffati M. ↓, Fransson A. ↑,
86', Besara N. ↓, Ortmark J. ↑,
86', Abraham P. ↓, Erabi J. ↑,
86', Madjed M. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
89', Fofana I. 🟨,
90+1', Fransson A. 🟨,
90+3', Tekie T. ↓, Lahdo A. ↑,
90+5', Lushaku I. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 1.

Norrköping has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hammarby is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Norrköping may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hammarby is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Norrköping won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.08.25	Brommapojkarna - Norrköping	6:4 ✺
26.07.25	Degerfors - Norrköping	0:0 ✺
21.07.25	Norrköping - Värnamo	3:1 ✺
12.07.25	Malmö - Norrköping	3:1 ✺
07.07.25	Norrköping - Brommapojkarna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWLL
- Hammarby IF Football
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Rosenborg - Hammarby	0:0 ✺
31.07.25	Charleroi - Hammarby	1:2 ET ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.07.25	Värnamo - Hammarby	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Hammarby - Charleroi	0:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.07.25	Hammarby - Brommapojkarna	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
11.05.25	Hammarby - Norrköping	1:1
16.09.24	Hammarby - Norrköping	1:1
12.05.24	Norrköping - Hammarby	1:2
30.07.23	Hammarby - Norrköping	2:1
04.05.23	Norrköping - Hammarby	2:0
05.09.22	Norrköping - Hammarby	4:1
22.05.22	Hammarby - Norrköping	3:0

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