Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Lerkendal Stadion (Trondheim)

Referee: Kucuk Z. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play


	Rosenborg		Hammarby

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.8
	2.28	3.15	3.05	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.27
	2.22	3.15	3.32	Watch
				Watch
	2.35	3.46	3.06	Watch
	2.27	3.45	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2)	3.27 ↓ (3.33)	3.08 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosenborg
41%

Draw
28.6%

Hammarby
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosenborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.1%	18.2%	22.7%

Rosenborg - Hammarby Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Rosenborg will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Hammarby will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenborg: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosenborg (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Hammarby (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Rosenborg (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Hammarby (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosenborg (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Hammarby (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tangvik S. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 38. Ceide M. K. 21. Nemcik T. 19. Pereira A. 6. Vaananen S. 10. Selnaes O. (C) 7. Nordli S. 45. Reitan-Sunde J. 39. Islamovic D. 35. Ceide E. K.	1. Hahn W. (G) 2. Skoglund H. 4. Eriksson V. 3. Winther F. 19. Pinas S. 28. Junior Adjei F. 8. Karlsson M. 20. Besara N. (C) 11. Johansson O. 9. Erabi J. 18. Tounekti S.
Substitutes
43. Borgersen A. 8. Fossum I. 18. Holm N. 23. Jenssen U. 15. Mortensen J. 4. Racic L. 2. Reitan E. 9. Saeter O. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 24. Sorum H. (G) 50. Volden H. 5. Zeidan M.	7. Abraham P. 25. Fischerstrom Opancar E. (G) 17. Fofana I. 27. Jakobsson F. (G) 29. Kabore M. 13. Karlsson J. 15. Lahdo A. 26. Madjed M. 22. Ortmark J. 21. Strand S. 5. Tekie T. 6. Vagic P.
Coaches
Johansson A.	Hellberg K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Eriksson V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', Besara N. ↓, Tekie T. ↑,
73', Pereira A. ↓, Jenssen U. ↑,
80', Tounekti S. ↓, Strand S. ↑,
80', Johansson O. ↓, Abraham P. ↑,
80', Strand S. 🟨,
82', Reitan-Sunde J. ↓, Holm N. ↑,
82', Nordli S. ↓, Fossum I. ↑,
83', Junior Adjei F. ↓, Lahdo A. ↑,
87', Islamovic D. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Rosenborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.08.25	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Rosenborg	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Banga Gargždai - Rosenborg	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.07.25	Rosenborg - Tromsø	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Rosenborg - Banga Gargždai	5:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.07.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWT
- Hammarby IF Football
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Charleroi - Hammarby	1:2 ET ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
27.07.25	Värnamo - Hammarby	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.07.25	Hammarby - Charleroi	0:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
20.07.25	Hammarby - Brommapojkarna	3:2 ✺
13.07.25	GAIS - Hammarby	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTWL

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