Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 11

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Platinumcars Arena (Norrköping)

Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 2, Max, TV4 Play


	Norrköping		Mjällby

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.7	1.98
	3.05	3.55	2.3	Watch
	3.53	3.84	2.04
	3.06	3.43	2.32	Watch
	3.3	3.6	2.05
	3.13	3.72	2.16	Watch
	3.05	3.55	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.85)	3.64 ↓ (3.69)	2.15 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Norrköping
29.5%

Draw
26.2%

Mjällby
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.7%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

25.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norrköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	34.8%	56.5%

Norrköping - Mjällby Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Norrköping will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Mjällby will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mjällby: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrköping (votes: 1 - 10%). Mjällby (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Mjällby (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Norrköping (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Norrköping (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Norrköping (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Norrköping (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Mjällby (votes: 7 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Andersson D. (G) 37. Neffati M. 19. Watson M. 2. Peprah K. 3. Baggesen M. 20. Bronner A. 9. Traustason A. (C) 7. Fransson A. 10. Karlsson D.M. 15. Jorgensen S. 8. Sigurgeirsson I.	1. Tornqvist N. (G) 14. Johansson H. 4. Noren A. 24. Pettersson T. 17. Stroud E. 10. Rojkjaer N. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 11. Stavitski T. 6. Thorell L. 18. Bergstrom J. 19. Manneh A.
Substitutes
28. Andersson A. 21. Ceesay J. 24. Eriksson A. 25. Jansson K. 14. Kalley Y. 30. Krantz T. (G) 11. Lushaku I. 22. Prica T. 4. Sogaard A.	39. Arrhenius R. 15. Bang-Kittilsen B. 26. Charles U. 16. Johansson A. 35. Lundin A. (G) 25. Miftari A. 27. Tidstrand L.
Coaches
Falk M.	Torstensson A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Stavitski T. ↓, Charles U. ↑,
17', Bronner A. 🟨,
40', Bergstrom J. 🟨,
41', Neffati M. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Thorell L. ⚽, Rojkjaer N. (A),
45+5', Charles U. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Peprah K. 🟨,
60', Fransson A. ↓, Ceesay J. ↑,
60', Karlsson D.M. ↓, Prica T. ↑,
60', Bronner A. ↓, Lushaku I. ↑,
73', Bergstrom J. ↓, Johansson A. ↑,
73', Thorell L. ↓, Bang-Kittilsen B. ↑,
82', Manneh A. ↓, Arrhenius R. ↑,
83', Charles U. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Traustason A. ⚽,
90+3', Baggesen M. ↓, Jansson K. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 1.

In recent matches, Norrköping has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mjällby is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Norrköping may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mjällby could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S. (Knee Injury) Mitov D. (Wrist Injury)

There will not play in Mjällby: Gustafson V. (Yellow Cards) Iqbal A. (Yellow Cards) Petersson A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Mjällby: Isaksson M. (Inactive) Miettinen T. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Norrköping won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.05.25	Sirius - Norrköping	1:2 ✺
15.05.25	Norrköping - Degerfors	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Hammarby - Norrköping	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Norrköping - Häcken	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Värnamo - Norrköping	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLTLW
- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.05.25	Hammarby - Mjällby	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Mjällby - Brommapojkarna	1:0 ✺
15.05.25	Djurgården - Mjällby	1:3 ✺
11.05.25	AIK - Mjällby	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Mjällby - IFK Göteborg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
26.08.24	Norrköping - Mjällby	1:2
06.04.24	Mjällby - Norrköping	3:0
18.09.23	Norrköping - Mjällby	0:2
16.07.23	Mjällby - Norrköping	1:2
10.10.22	Norrköping - Mjällby	2:2
26.06.22	Mjällby - Norrköping	1:1
28.10.21	Norrköping - Mjällby	2:2

Upcoming Matches