The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Carolina Courage 35.6%
Draw 26%
NJ NY Gotham 38.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
26.2%
39.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
25.7%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Carolina Courage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
NJ NY Gotham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for NJ NY Gotham than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
North Carolina Courage - NJ NY Gotham Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sheridan K. (C) 13. Williams R. 18. Shiragaki U. 12. Staude N. 11. Rauch F. 26. Boe Risa V. 19. Parkinson E. 23. Paul G. 20. Koyama S. 2. Sanchez A. 10. Ijeh E.
30. Berger A. (G) 23. Purce M. 27. Carter J. 15. Davidson T. (C) 18. Reiten G. 7. Howell J. M. 5. O'Sullivan D. 2. Dudley J. 16. Lavelle R. 10. Shaw J. 20. Kerr S.
Substitutes
33. Betfort H. 21. Bia 5. Brooks C. 6. Garner I. 8. Okafor C. 17. Weatherholt D. 99. White M. (G) 14. Wickenheiser C. 9. Wingate O.
28. Boade T. 3. Bruninha 22. Freeman M. 24. Kitahata A. 13. McCaskill S. 14. Sommer T. 25. Speck M. 8. Torres T. 31. Wy T. (G)
Coaches
Lind M.
Amoros J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Dudley J. ⚽, Kerr S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 1 - 1, Staude N. ⚽,
69', Boe Risa V. ↓, Wickenheiser C. ↑,
69', Rauch F. ↓, Weatherholt D. ↑,
69', Reiten G. ↓, Torres T. ↑,
81', Purce M. ↓, Bruninha ↑,
81', O'Sullivan D. ↓, McCaskill S. ↑,
88', Weatherholt D. 🟨,
90+1', Paul G. ↓, Bia ↑,
90+1', Ijeh E. ↓, Okafor C. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Dudley J. ⚽, Lavelle R. (A),
90+5', Davidson T. 🟨,
90+8', Shaw J. ↓, Sommer T. ↑,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ NWSL Women PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 1st in the Promotion ~ NWSL Women PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
North Carolina may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, North Carolina has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:28 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for North Carolina against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:13 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).