Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego, CA)

Referee: Thompson M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	fubo Sports Network, OneSoccer
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ion TV, MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play, Tubi TV
World	Apple TV International, NWSL+, OneFootball TV


	San Diego Wave		North Carolina Courage

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.50	2.85
	2.12	3.35	2.85
	2.18	3.7	2.79
	2.19	3.75	2.88	Watch
	2.11	3.6	2.7
	2.14	3.5	2.87	Watch
	2.15	3.45	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.05)	3.55 ↑ (3.46)	2.83 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

San Diego Wave
42.5%

Draw
25.5%

North Carolina Courage
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

26.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Wave has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

North Carolina Courage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego Wave than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Panos S. (G) 6. Courtnall B. 2. Wesley K. (C) 14. McNabb K. 75. Morroni P. 10. Dali K. 8. Ascanio K. 11. Corley G. 7. Barcenas M. 15. Byars T. 22. Godfrey L. E.	1. Sheridan K. (C) 13. Williams R. 18. Shiragaki U. 12. Staude N. 11. Rauch F. 19. Parkinson E. 26. Boe Risa V. 8. Okafor C. 20. Koyama S. 2. Sanchez A. 10. Ijeh E.
Substitutes
18. Fazer L. 81. Gabi Portilho 31. Haracic D. (G) 4. Harbert L. 23. Harrison N. 9. Leon A. 17. Ludmila 19. Wynalda T.	33. Betfort H. 21. Bia 5. Brooks C. 6. Garner I. 80. Pena O. 17. Weatherholt D. 99. White M. (G) 14. Wickenheiser C. 9. Wingate O.
Coaches
Eidevall J.	Lind M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Corley G. ⚽,
44', Okafor C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Okafor C. ↓, Wickenheiser C. ↑,
63', Corley G. ↓, Harbert L. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Barcenas M. ⚽,
81', Ascanio K. ↓, Fazer L. ↑,
81', Byars T. ↓, Leon A. ↑,
81', Boe Risa V. ↓, Bia ↑,
81', Rauch F. ↓, Weatherholt D. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽, Koyama S. (A),
90', Staude N. ↓, Betfort H. ↑,
90+3', Barcenas M. ↓, Harrison N. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

San Diego Wave may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

San Diego Wave will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Diego Wave won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, San Diego Wave won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	San Diego Wave W ✔	27	16	3	8	40:28	12	51
8	North Carolina Courage W	27	13	3	11	50:39	11	42

Last Results with these Odds

San Diego Wave - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 43.91%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Wave
NWSL
06.09.26	Seattle Reign - San Diego Wave	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	San Diego Wave - Racing Louisville	3:2 ✺
21.08.26	San Diego Wave - Utah Royals	4:2 ✺
14.08.26	San Diego Wave - Denver Summit	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	NJ NY Gotham - San Diego Wave	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWTL
- North Carolina Courage
NWSL
06.09.26	Chicago Stars - North Carolina Courage	0:6 ✺
29.08.26	Kansas City Current - North Carolina Courage	3:2 ✺
26.08.26	North Carolina Courage - Angel City	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	North Carolina Courage - Boston Legacy	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	North Carolina Courage - Houston Dash	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
02.08.25	North Carolina Courage - San Diego Wave	0:0
25.05.25	San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage	5:2
05.10.24	North Carolina Courage - San Diego Wave	2:1
08.09.24	San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage	1:4
07.10.23	North Carolina Courage - San Diego Wave	0:0
01.04.23	San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage	3:1
30.09.22	San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage	0:0

San Diego Wave - North Carolina Courage: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide