The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North District 67.8%
Draw 17.5%
Kowloon City 14.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66.9%
16.4%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.7%
15.3%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Kowloon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North District than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kowloon City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
North District - Kowloon City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
63. Li H. D. (G) 4. Fung Kwun-Ming 20. Kayke David 9. Lo Kong-Wai (C) 16. Mosquera K. 30. Navarro F. 5. Paez C. 70. Samuel Granada 11. Weverton Gudula 3. Wong Chun-Ho 37. Wong Tsz-Ho
1. Cheung Kwai-Wa (G) 8. Chiu W. 5. Eli D. (C) 4. Kang Jun-Hyeon 17. Kwok Chun-Nok 12. Law C. 24. Lucena S. 7. Mikael 3. Muens G. 9. Popovic N. 10. Rikelmi
Substitutes
13. Chan K. (G) 18. Dai T. M. 19. Khan J. 10. Law Hiu-Chung 2. Singh B. K. 23. Siu C. N. 6. Tsang C. 87. Tsui L. 8. Vinicius Soares 15. Wong H. 17. Yiu H. J. 7. Yuen Sai-Kit
11. Chen Ngo-Hin 95. Fung T. W. 14. Kim Min-sub 22. Kwong T. (G) 66. Leung H. A. (G) 18. Slattery M. 21. Tsang Kam-To 31. Wong H. 91. Wong L. 20. Yim Kai-Cheuk 2. Yu Pui-Hong
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Mikael ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Paez C. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Muens G. ⚽,
27', Law C. 🟨,
30', Kayke David 🟨,
40', Kwok Chun-Nok 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Law C. ↓, Fung T. W. ↑,
53', 2 - 2, Samuel Granada ⚽,
62', Eli D. 🟨,
63', Mikael 🟨,
70', Lo Kong-Wai ↓, Khan J. ↑,
71', Rikelmi ↓, Kim Min-sub ↑,
74', Wong Tsz-Ho 🟨,
79', Navarro F. ↓, Vinicius Soares ↑,
85', Fung Kwun-Ming ↓, Singh B. K. ↑,
85', Wong Tsz-Ho ↓, Law Hiu-Chung ↑,
87', Kwok Chun-Nok ↓, Chen Ngo-Hin ↑,
87', Wong Chun-Ho 🟨,
90+3', Chen Ngo-Hin 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
93', 3 - 2, Vinicius Soares ⚽,
96', Chiu W. ↓, Tsang Kam-To ↑,
99', 3 - 3, Chen Ngo-Hin ⚽,
102', Mosquera K. 🟨,
111', Wong Chun-Ho ↓, Tsui L. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
North District arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Kowloon City has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
North District may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to North District as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for North District in today's match, at odds of 1.35.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, North District has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 13:10 (averaging 2.6:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for North District against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:5 goals (averaging 2.3:1.7 per game).
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Li H. D. (G) 
Kayke David 
Mosquera K. 
Kang Jun-Hyeon 
Lucena S. 
Muens G. 
Popovic N. 
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