Match Info

Australian Championship - Round 5

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: TK Shutter Reserve (Adelaide)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SBS On Demand
Hong-kong	HOY TV


	North Eastern MetroStars		Bayswater City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.91	3.99
	2.05	3.74	3.03	Watch
	1.81	3.78	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.25)	3.81 ↓ (4)	3.64 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Eastern MetroStars
49.8%

Draw
24.6%

Bayswater City
25.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40%

22.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

22.3%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Eastern MetroStars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in North Eastern MetroStars's performance.

Bayswater City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayswater City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Eastern MetroStars than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Eastern MetroStars that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayswater City than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayswater City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

North Eastern MetroStars - Bayswater City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayswater (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, ⚽,
74', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of MetroStars has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bayswater is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

MetroStars may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bayswater has had a series of home games.

MetroStars is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, MetroStars won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Eastern MetroStars
Australian Championship
01.11.25	Wests APIA - North Eastern MetroStars	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Sydney United - North Eastern MetroStars	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Bayswater City - North Eastern MetroStars	1:0 ✺
10.10.25	North Eastern MetroStars - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:1 ✺
Australian NPL South Australian
12.09.25	North Eastern MetroStars - Croydon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLLL
- Bayswater City
Australian Championship
02.11.25	Bayswater City - Sydney United	3:2 ✺
26.10.25	Bayswater City - Wests APIA	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Bayswater City - North Eastern MetroStars	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Sydney United - Bayswater City	1:1 ✺
Australian NPL Western Australia
13.09.25	Bayswater City - Olympic Kingsway	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Championship
19.10.25	Bayswater City - North Eastern MetroStars	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayswater City
Australian Championship
25.10.26	Sydney Olympic - Bayswater City	✺

North Eastern MetroStars - Bayswater City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide