Match Info
Victoria Premier League - Round 21Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
North Geelong Warriors |
|
Melbourne Victory Youth |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.65 |
3.75 |
2.10 |
|
 |
3.05 |
3.90 |
1.86 |
|
 |
2.64 |
3.76 |
2.00 |
|
 |
2.84 |
4.1 |
2.04 |
 Watch |
 |
2.45 |
3.90 |
2.05 |
|
 |
2.58 |
4.33 |
2.17 |
|
 |
2.80 |
3.85 |
2.08 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↓
(3.05) |
3.94 ↑
(3.9) |
2.04 ↑
(1.87) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
North Geelong Warriors
33.1% | Draw
22.8% | Melbourne Victory Youth
44% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Geelong Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+4.4%)North Geelong Warriors - Melbourne Victory Youth Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 28', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).Now, both teams are in good form.Victory Youth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Victory Youth could have a small edge in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, North Geelong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).Including home match between the teams, North Geelong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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