Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 19

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Western United U21		Melbourne Victory Youth

	1	X	2
	4.80	4.75	1.43
	3.85	4.10	1.62
	5.38	5.84	1.44
	4.61	5.27	1.47	Watch
	5.30	5.75	1.34
	5.47	5.25	1.37
	4.80	4.80	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (3.5)	5.11 ↑ (3.85)	1.45 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western United U21
18.7%

Draw
17.9%

Melbourne Victory Youth
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

23.1%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

22.4%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western United U21's form might have worsened.

Melbourne Victory Youth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Victory Youth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United U21 than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western United U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Victory Youth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Western United U21 - Melbourne Victory Youth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
73', 3 - 0, ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Western United U21 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Victory Youth is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Western United U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Victory Youth is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Western United U21 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Western United U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western United U21
Australian Victoria Premier League
19.06.26	Eltham Redbacks - Western United U21	3:4 ✺
13.06.26	Western United U21 - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Manningham United - Western United U21	3:4 ✺
31.05.26	Western United U21 - Northcote City	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Melbourne Srbija - Western United U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWLL
- Melbourne Victory Youth
Australian Victoria Premier League
22.06.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Brunswick City	4:1 ✺
13.06.26	Bulleen Lions - Melbourne Victory Youth	2:4 ✺
08.06.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Brunswick Juventus	4:0 ✺
01.06.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Melbourne Knights	1:2 ✺
22.05.26	Eltham Redbacks - Melbourne Victory Youth	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
23.03.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Western United U21	2:1
17.08.24	Melbourne Victory Youth - Western United U21	2:4
11.05.24	Western United U21 - Melbourne Victory Youth	4:4

Western United U21 - Melbourne Victory Youth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide