Match Info

AUSTRALIA: Victoria Premier League - Round 14

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	North Geelong Warriors		Werribee City

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.5	2.4
	2.42	3.87	2.45
	2.43	3.87	2.45
	2.46	3.68	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.68)	3.73 ↑ (3.61)	2.45 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Geelong Warriors
37.9%

Draw
24.6%

Werribee City
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

25.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

24.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Geelong Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Werribee City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werribee City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

North Geelong Warriors - Werribee City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

North Geelong will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches North Geelong won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams North Geelong won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Geelong Warriors
Australian Victoria Premier League
11.05.24	North Geelong Warriors - Melbourne City Youth	0:3 ✺
04.05.24	Caroline Springs George Cross - North Geelong Warriors	2:1 ✺
27.04.24	North Geelong Warriors - Kingston City	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	North Geelong Warriors - Eastern Lions	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Bentleigh Greens - North Geelong Warriors	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLWTL
- Werribee City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
11.05.24	Eastern Lions - Werribee City	1:1 ✺
04.05.24	Werribee City - Bentleigh Greens	2:2 ✺
26.04.24	Preston Lions - Werribee City	5:0 ✺
19.04.24	Werribee City - Northcote City	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Western United U21 - Werribee City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
23.08.15	Werribee City - North Geelong Warriors	0:2
16.05.15	North Geelong Warriors - Werribee City	0:2

North Geelong Warriors - Werribee City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide