Match Info

Asian Games Women - Play Offs - Final

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa (Shizuoka) 🌤️ ...


	North Korea W		Japan W

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.90	2.15
	3.3	2.92	2.1
	3.36	2.91	2.33
	3.24	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.25	2.85	2.25
	3.48	2.97	2.19
	3.1	2.85	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.89)	2.95 ↓ (3.3)	2.2 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

North Korea W
27.7%

Draw
30.8%

Japan W
41.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

27.8%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

26.4%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Korea W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Japan W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Korea W than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Japan W than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

North Korea W - Japan W Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. North Korea will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Japan will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Yu Son-Gum (G) 2. Ri Myong-Gum Naegohyang 7. Myong Yu-Jong 11. Han Jin-Hong 3. Ri Kum-Hyang (C) Naegohyang 13. Jon Ryong-Jong 6. An Pok-Yong Naegohyang 14. Hwang Yu-Yong 23. Ri Hye-Gyong 20. Chae Un-Yong Wolmido 17. Kim Kyong-Yong Naegohyang	23. Ohba S. (G) Rangers 3. Ohashi S. 9. Ueno M. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 13. Kuwahara A. Inac Kobe Leonesa 6. Funa Y. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 11. Kamiya C. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 7. Hamada M. Omiya Ardija 10. Narumiya Y. (C) Inac Kobe Leonesa 22. Nakashima Y. Sanfrecce Hiroshima 15. Ito J. Nojima Stella 14. Shiokoshi Y. Beleza
Substitutes
5. An Hyang-Kuk 15. Choe Il-Son 19. Choe Kum-Ok Naegohyang 12. Hong Song-Ok 22. Kim Hye-Yong Naegohyang 9. Kim Song-Gyong 10. Kum Jong Naegohyang 4. Oh Sol-Song 1. Pak Ju-Mi (G) Naegohyang 8. Ri Song-A 16. Song Chun-Sim 21. Un-gyong C. (G)	1. Asano N. (G) 12. Fukuda S. (G) Urawa 4. Goto W. Urawa 16. Ikuta N. Saitama 19. Mizuno F. Inac Kobe Leonesa 21. Nishio H. Urawa 8. Sakakibara K. Urawa 5. Seno Y. Saitama 2. Suzuki S. JEF United 17. Takarada S. C-Osaka 20. Tsujisawa A. Inac Kobe Leonesa 18. Yumura H. Nojima Stella

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Ueno M. ⚽,
40', Kim Kyong-Yong ↓, Kum Jong ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Kum Jong ⚽,
63', Nakashima Y. ↓, Ikuta N. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Jon Ryong-Jong ⚽, Han Jin-Hong (A),
75', Funa Y. ↓, Nishio H. ↑,
75', Kamiya C. ↓, Mizuno F. ↑,
81', Ueno M. ↓, Seno Y. ↑,
81', Narumiya Y. ↓, Takarada S. ↑,
83', Chae Un-Yong ↓, Hong Song-Ok ↑,
83', An Pok-Yong ↓, Choe Kum-Ok ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Nishio H. ⚽, Takarada S. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
100', Ohashi S. ↓, Yumura H. ↑,
117', Han Jin-Hong ↓, Choe Il-Son ↑,
119', Yu Son-Gum ↓, Un-gyong C. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Takarada S. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Myong Yu-Jong (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mizuno F. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Jon Ryong-Jong (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kuwahara A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Kum Jong (Penalty Awarded),
4, Nishio H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Ri Myong-Gum (Penalty Awarded),
5, Shiokoshi Y. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Korea won 1.

Both teams have recently enjoyed an outstanding winning streak.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Japan holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, North Korea has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:11 (averaging 1.3:1.6 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Korea W
Asian Games Football Women
29.09.26	North Korea W - China W	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	North Korea W - Chinese Taipei W	5:1 ✺
21.09.26	South Korea W - North Korea W	1:1 ✺
17.09.26	Myanmar W - North Korea W	0:8 ✺
14.09.26	North Korea W - Bangladesh W	10:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWTWW
- Japan W
Asian Games Football Women
29.09.26	Japan W - South Korea W	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Japan W - Philippines W	4:0 ✺
21.09.26	Japan W - Chinese Taipei W	4:0 ✺
17.09.26	Vietnam W - Japan W	0:8 ✺
14.09.26	Japan W - Thailand W	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Olympic Games - Football Women
28.02.24	Japan W - North Korea W	2:1
24.02.24	North Korea W - Japan W	0:0
Asian Games Football Women
06.10.23	Japan W - North Korea W	4:1
25.08.18	Japan W - North Korea W	2:1
EAFF E-1 Women
15.12.17	Japan W - North Korea W	0:2
Olympic Games - Football Women
09.03.16	Japan W - North Korea W	1:0
EAFF E-1 Women
01.08.15	North Korea W - Japan W	4:2

North Korea W - Japan W