Match Info

Date: 13 June 2021, Sunday


	North Texas		Greenville Triumph

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5	3.5	1.6
	5.5	3.25	1.62
	4.4	3.6	1.65
	5.14	3.54	1.69
	5.5	3.3	1.6
	4.6	3.74	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.02 ↓ (6.7)	3.49 ↓ (5.5)	1.64 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Texas
18.2%

Draw
26.1%

Greenville Triumph
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

16.5%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.1%

14.7%

78.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Texas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greenville Triumph might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Texas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+23%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greenville Triumph could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

North Texas - Greenville Triumph Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs)).

North Texas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Greenville is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Greenville is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches North Texas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams North Texas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Texas SC
USL League One
29.05.21	North Texas - Toronto FC II	1:1 ✺
22.05.21	Toronto FC II - North Texas	2:1 ✺
16.05.21	North Texas - South Georgia Tormenta	2:1 ✺
08.05.21	North Texas - Chattanooga Red Wolves	0:1 ✺
01.05.21	Greenville Triumph - North Texas	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLL
- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
22.05.21	South Georgia Tormenta - Greenville Triumph	0:1 ✺
16.05.21	Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha	1:1 ✺
08.05.21	North Carolina - Greenville Triumph	1:2 ✺
01.05.21	Greenville Triumph - North Texas	4:0 ✺
24.04.21	Richmond Kickers - Greenville Triumph	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
01.05.21	Greenville Triumph - North Texas	4:0
25.09.20	Greenville Triumph - North Texas	1:0
19.10.19	North Texas - Greenville Triumph	1:0
26.07.19	North Texas - Greenville Triumph	0:4
07.07.19	North Texas - Greenville Triumph	0:0
04.05.19	Greenville Triumph - North Texas	0:1

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