Match Info

USA: USL LEAGUE ONE

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday


	North Carolina		Greenville Triumph

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.25
	1.9	3.5	3.4
	1.96	3.66	3.38
	1.92	3.66	3.42	Watch
	1.98	3.6	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.83)	3.56 ↓ (3.64)	3.32 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Carolina
47.1%

Draw
25.5%

Greenville Triumph
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

25.2%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

24.6%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Greenville Triumph has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

North Carolina - Greenville Triumph Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Thompson B. (G) 2. Young C. 24. Garcia D. 6. Fernandes G. 3. Blanco N. 15. Maldonado M. 44. Sommersall R. 14. Mentzingen R. 13. Perez L. 9. Anderson O. 19. McLaughlin G. (C)	99. Mazzola J. (G) 22. Shultz N. 15. Fricke B. 12. Lee E. 24. Shaw T. 13. Franke N. 5. Pilato N. 8. Walker A. (C) 23. Gavilanes A. 9. MacKinnon L. 25. Castro L.
Substitutes
7. Arriaga L. 21. Croll L. 22. Flick M. 23. Mariche M. 88. Popp P. 12. Saunders T. (G)	10. Coutinho L. 7. Cox-Ashwood A. 19. Evans V. 18. Labovitz J. 31. Rankenburg G. (G) 4. Smith J. 2. Wu D.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches North Carolina won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

North Carolina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

North Carolina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches North Carolina won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams North Carolina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Carolina FC
USL League One
09.08.23	Richmond Kickers - North Carolina	2:2 ✺
05.08.23	South Georgia Tormenta - North Carolina	2:3 ✺
29.07.23	Chattanooga Red Wolves - North Carolina	1:2 ✺
26.07.23	North Carolina - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.23	North Carolina - Sunderland	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWWL
- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
05.08.23	Greenville Triumph - Charlotte Independence	3:2 ✺
29.07.23	Forward Madison - Greenville Triumph	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	South Georgia Tormenta - Greenville Triumph	1:2 ✺
19.07.23	Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
15.07.23	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
29.04.23	Greenville Triumph - North Carolina	1:2
29.06.22	Greenville Triumph - North Carolina	3:1
21.05.22	North Carolina - Greenville Triumph	1:0
16.04.22	North Carolina - Greenville Triumph	1:1
30.10.21	North Carolina - Greenville Triumph	0:2
10.07.21	Greenville Triumph - North Carolina	0:0
16.06.21	Greenville Triumph - North Carolina	2:1

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