Match Info

USL League One

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: City Stadium (Richmond, VA)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Richmond Kickers		Greenville Triumph

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.2	2.55
	2.11	3.35	3.05
	2.17	3.41	3.15
	2.22	3.41	3.11	Watch
	2.09	3.38	3.08	Watch
	2.11	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.47)	3.35 ↑ (3.19)	3 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richmond Kickers
42.1%

Draw
27.4%

Greenville Triumph
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

28.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

27%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richmond Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Richmond Kickers's performance.

Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Richmond Kickers than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Richmond Kickers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greenville Triumph could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Richmond Kickers - Greenville Triumph Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Richmond Kickers (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Sneddon J. (G) 4. Fitch S. 16. Cela K. 14. Guilherme Diniz 5. Schenfeld M. 2. Barnathan D. 10. Seufert N. 9. Kirkland J. 27. O'Dwyer C. 19. Espinal D. 32. Terzaghi E.	1. Rankenburg G. (G) 18. Evans C. 23. Agyaakwah I. 5. Fricke B. 3. Polak T. 6. Anguiano C. 12. Lee E. 8. Herrera C. 19. Marsh C. 7. Zakowski B. 25. Castro L.
Substitutes
3. Anderson H. 20. Billhardt A. 33. Bolduc M. 34. Howell B. 1. Jara P. (G) 7. Johnson L. 18. Kanagwa J. 40. Sarantakos N. 17. Vaughan J.	77. Benton D. 14. Biggar J. 17. Gonzalez M. 20. Mensah R. 4. Patti A. 30. Torman S. (G) 10. Velasquez S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Kirkland J. ⚽, Seufert N. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Evans C. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Zakowski B. ⚽, Marsh C. (A),
35', Castro L. 🟨,
39', 2 - 2, Kirkland J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Schenfeld M. 🟨,
69', Zakowski B. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
71', Lee E. ↓, Velasquez S. ↑,
71', Kirkland J. ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
72', Anguiano C. 🟨,
76', Cela K. ↓, Vaughan J. ↑,
76', Espinal D. ↓, Bolduc M. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, O'Dwyer C. ⚽,
84', 3 - 3, Agyaakwah I. ⚽, Evans C. (A),
85', Anguiano C. ↓, Mensah R. ↑,
90+1', Castro L. ↓, Biggar J. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Richmond Kickers won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Richmond Kickers won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richmond Kickers
USL Cup
26.04.25	Louisville City - Richmond Kickers	4:1 ✺
USL League One
19.04.25	Richmond Kickers - Westchester SC	4:4 ✺
12.04.25	Naples - Richmond Kickers	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Richmond Kickers - Union Omaha	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLWL
- Greenville Triumph
USL Cup
26.04.25	South Georgia Tormenta - Greenville Triumph	2:1 ✺
USL League One
19.04.25	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
09.04.25	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Greenville Triumph - Charlotte Independence	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
02.04.25	Greenville Triumph - One Knoxville	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
16.08.24	Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers	1:1
USL Cup
20.07.24	Richmond Kickers - Greenville Triumph	0:2
USL League One
18.05.24	Richmond Kickers - Greenville Triumph	0:1
USL Cup
27.04.24	Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers	1:2 penalties
USL League One
24.09.23	Richmond Kickers - Greenville Triumph	1:2
13.05.23	Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers	2:2
25.03.23	Greenville Triumph - Richmond Kickers	0:1

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