Match Info

USL League One

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Paladin Stadium (Greenville, SC)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Greenville Triumph		Union Omaha

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.35	2.22
	2.96	3.37	2.26
	3.52	3.77	1.92	Watch
	3.5	3.65	1.86
	2.74	3.68	2.31	Watch
	2.7	3.35	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.75)	3.53 ↑ (3.35)	2.13 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greenville Triumph
30.6%

Draw
26.2%

Union Omaha
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

26.7%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

26%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Torman S. (G) 77. Benton D. 42. Bubb Z. 5. Fricke B. (C) 18. Evans C. 27. Nour M. 6. Agyaakwah I. 8. Herrera C. 20. Villanueva A. 19. Liadi A. 9. Robles R.	24. Nuhu R. (C) 23. Boudadi Y. 4. Owusu S. 14. Kallman B. 6. Guediri S. 28. Caceres E. 8. Gabriel Cabral 20. Ors Navarro S. 16. Wootton L. 7. Billhardt A. 9. Botello Faz P.
Substitutes
1. Bilichuk R. (G) 7. Boyce D. 25. Castro L. 12. Lee E. 15. Patti A. 29. Polo B. 4. Sims T. 23. White E.	21. Gomez A. 99. Jensen C. (G) 27. Jiba R. 25. Klein T. 19. Lawrence C. 3. Malone B. 22. Tekiela K.
Coaches
Tyson J.	Candela V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Nour M. ⚽, Villanueva A. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Ors Navarro S. ⚽, Boudadi Y. (A),
32', Caceres E. 🟨,
44', Wootton L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Herrera C. 🟨,
53', Candela V. 🟨,
56', Botello Faz P. 🟨,
64', 1 - 2, Caceres E. ⚽, Botello Faz P. (A),
65', Billhardt A. ↓, Tekiela K. ↑,
65', Boudadi Y. 🟨,
65', Wootton L. ↓, Jiba R. ↑,
71', Evans C. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
71', Benton D. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
71', Robles R. ↓, Boyce D. ↑,
77', Bubb Z. ↓, Sims T. ↑,
78', Caceres E. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
86', Ors Navarro S. ↓, Lawrence C. ↑,
86', Botello Faz P. ↓, Klein T. ↑,
86', Agyaakwah I. ↓, White E. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, Tekiela K. ⚽, Gomez A. (A),

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 15th and 1st in the Promotion ~ USL League One PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Union Omaha is Qualified for USL League One (Play Offs Quarter~finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greenville won 1.

Greenville is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Union Omaha is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Union Omaha has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Union Omaha holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Greenville has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:22 (averaging 0.9:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Greenville against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:7 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Omaha ✔	29	19	4	6	53:31	22	61
16	Greenville	28	6	5	17	30:52	-22	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greenville Triumph
USL League One
19.09.26	Sarasota Paradise - Greenville Triumph	6:0 ✺
16.09.26	Greenville Triumph - Corpus Christi	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Greenville Triumph - Fort Wayne	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Chattanooga Red Wolves - Greenville Triumph	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Greenville Triumph - Naples	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- Union Omaha
USL League One
19.09.26	Union Omaha - One Knoxville	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Union Omaha - Spokane Velocity	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Corpus Christi - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Union Omaha - Charlotte Independence	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Union Omaha - New York Cosmos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
02.05.26	Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph	2:0
11.10.25	Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha	0:0
12.06.25	Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph	1:0
12.03.25	Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha	3:0
09.11.24	Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph	2:1
07.09.24	Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph	3:1
13.07.24	Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha	0:1

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