Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 15

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	North West Sydney Spirit		Mt Druitt Town Rangers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	4.5	4.8
	1.5	4.5	4.7	Watch
	1.54	4.83	4.8
	1.54	4.72	4.86	Watch
	1.5	4.4	4.8
	1.47	4.5	5.1	Watch
	1.5	4.5	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.37)	4.56 ↓ (5.25)	4.82 ↓ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North West Sydney Spirit
60.9%

Draw
20.1%

Mt Druitt Town Rangers
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

17.4%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

16.3%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North West Sydney Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North West Sydney Spirit's form might have worsened.

Mt Druitt Town Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North West Sydney Spirit than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North West Sydney Spirit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mt Druitt Town Rangers than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

North West Sydney Spirit - Mt Druitt Town Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Konestabo M. S. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Ofuka T. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Williams K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 4 - 0, Konestabo M. S. ⚽,
62', 5 - 0, Arambasic M. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, NWS Spirit has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mt Druitt Rangers has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, NWS Spirit is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, NWS Spirit won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, NWS Spirit won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North West Sydney Spirit
Australian NPL NSW
11.05.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - North West Sydney Spirit	1:3 ✺
03.05.25	North West Sydney Spirit - Wollongong Wolves	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	North West Sydney Spirit - St George Saints	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Sydney Olympic - North West Sydney Spirit	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	North West Sydney Spirit - Marconi Stallions	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTLL
- Mt Druitt Town Rangers
Australian NPL NSW
10.05.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Sutherland Sharks	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Sydney United - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Wollongong Wolves - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Blacktown City	2:3 ✺
12.04.25	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
24.06.23	North West Sydney Spirit - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	3:1
10.03.23	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - North West Sydney Spirit	0:0

North West Sydney Spirit - Mt Druitt Town Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide