Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 14

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Location: John Cain Memorial Park (Melbourne)


	Northcote City		Brunswick City

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.55	5.15
	1.46	4.98	5.32
	1.43	5.13	5.12	Watch
	1.44	4.4	5
	1.42	4.85	5.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.62)	4.78 ↑ (4.28)	5.16 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northcote City
63.3%

Draw
19%

Brunswick City
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

21.3%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

20.6%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northcote City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northcote City's performance.

Brunswick City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northcote City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northcote City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brunswick City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Northcote City - Brunswick City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria and 11).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Northcote City is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northcote City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 2.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Northcote City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northcote City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
15.05.26	Northcote City - Bulleen Lions	1:1 ✺
08.05.26	Brunswick Juventus - Northcote City	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Northcote City - Melbourne Victory Youth	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Eltham Redbacks - Northcote City	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Northcote City - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWTT
- Brunswick City SC
Australian Victoria Premier League
16.05.26	Melbourne Srbija - Brunswick City	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Brunswick City - North Sunshine Eagles	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	North Geelong Warriors - Brunswick City	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Brunswick City - Langwarrin	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Western United U21 - Brunswick City	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
13.02.26	Brunswick City - Northcote City	2:4
01.08.25	Brunswick City - Northcote City	0:0
25.04.25	Northcote City - Brunswick City	4:1
26.07.24	Brunswick City - Northcote City	5:3
26.04.24	Northcote City - Brunswick City	2:1

Northcote City - Brunswick City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide