Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 23

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday

Location: John Cain Memorial Park (Melbourne)


	Northcote City		Kingston City

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.8	3
	1.92	4.25	2.82
	1.98	4.59	2.78
	1.41	6.06	4.88	Watch
	1.7	4.2	3.7
	1.9	4.4	2.89
	1.66	4.7	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.59)	4.57 ↓ (5)	3.37 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northcote City
52.2%

Draw
20.3%

Kingston City
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

18.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

17.8%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northcote City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Kingston City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northcote City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kingston City than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Northcote City - Kingston City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Northcote City (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Northcote City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Northcote City (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Bates Z. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, Harding R. ⚽,
44', 3 - 1, Larson D. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
49', 4 - 1, ⚽,
55', 5 - 1, ⚽,
57', 6 - 1, ⚽,
65', 7 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Northcote City is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Kingston City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kingston City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Northcote City is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Kingston City will win today's game, with odds of 3.65.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northcote City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2.8:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Northcote City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northcote City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
19.07.25	Bulleen Lions - Northcote City	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Melbourne City Youth - Northcote City	3:1 ✺
04.07.25	Northcote City - Caroline Springs George Cross	1:2 ✺
27.06.25	Langwarrin - Northcote City	5:2 ✺
20.06.25	Northcote City - Western United U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kingston City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
19.07.25	Kingston City - Bentleigh Greens	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Manningham United - Kingston City	1:6 ✺
30.06.25	Kingston City - Brunswick City	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	North Sunshine Eagles - Kingston City	5:0 ✺
16.06.25	Bulleen Lions - Kingston City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
14.04.25	Kingston City - Northcote City	1:3
31.05.24	Kingston City - Northcote City	2:5
Club Friendly
19.02.20	Kingston City - Northcote City	3:3
Australian NPL Victoria
23.07.18	Kingston City - Northcote City	2:0
21.04.18	Northcote City - Kingston City	3:1

Northcote City - Kingston City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide