Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 16

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday


	Melbourne City Youth		Northcote City

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.15	7.3
	1.3	5.09	6.4
				Watch
	1.25	5	9
	1.23	5.65	9.1
	1.22	5.75	9.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.34)	5.33 ↑ (4.95)	8.25 ↑ (6.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne City Youth
72%

Draw
17%

Northcote City
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

18.4%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.9%

17.6%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne City Youth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Northcote City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne City Youth than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northcote City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Melbourne City Youth - Northcote City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, ⚽,
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria and 8).

In recent matches, Melbourne City Youth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Northcote City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Melbourne City Youth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Melbourne City Youth has had a series of away games.

Recently, Northcote City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Melbourne City Youth is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City Youth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Melbourne City Youth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne City Youth
Australian Victoria Premier League
05.07.25	Melbourne City Youth - Western United U21	2:3 ✺
28.06.25	Melbourne Srbija - Melbourne City Youth	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Eastern Lions - Melbourne City Youth	2:3 ✺
14.06.25	North Sunshine Eagles - Melbourne City Youth	0:1 ✺
07.06.25	Moreland City - Melbourne City Youth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWWL
- Northcote City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
04.07.25	Northcote City - Caroline Springs George Cross	1:2 ✺
27.06.25	Langwarrin - Northcote City	5:2 ✺
20.06.25	Northcote City - Western United U21	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Northcote City - Melbourne Srbija	0:1 ✺
06.06.25	Northcote City - Eastern Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
21.02.25	Northcote City - Melbourne City Youth	0:0
13.07.24	Melbourne City Youth - Northcote City	3:1
12.04.24	Northcote City - Melbourne City Youth	3:1

Melbourne City Youth - Northcote City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide