Match Info

NSW League One - Round 25

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday


	Northern Tigers		Blacktown Spartans

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.55
	2.16	3.45	2.75
	2.27	3.49	2.52
	2.31	3.74	2.55	Watch
	2.20	3.40	2.45
	2.28	3.58	2.53
	2.25	3.60	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.16)	3.52 ↑ (3.45)	2.55 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Tigers
39.7%

Draw
25.3%

Blacktown Spartans
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

26%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.1%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Blacktown Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northern Tigers than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blacktown Spartans than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Northern Tigers - Blacktown Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, ⚽,
32', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW).

Northern Tigers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Blacktown Spartans is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northern Tigers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Northern Tigers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Tigers FC
Australian NSW League One
19.07.26	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Northern Tigers	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Northern Tigers - Newcastle Jets U23	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Hills United - Northern Tigers	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Northern Tigers - Dulwich Hill	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Hakoah Sydney City East - Northern Tigers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWWL
- Blacktown Spartans
Australian NSW League One
18.07.26	Canterbury Bankstown - Blacktown Spartans	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Blacktown Spartans	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Blacktown Spartans - Newcastle Jets U23	7:2 ✺
26.06.26	Blacktown Spartans - Rydalmere Lions	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Dulwich Hill - Blacktown Spartans	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
10.04.26	Blacktown Spartans - Northern Tigers	3:2
26.07.25	Northern Tigers - Blacktown Spartans	1:4
11.04.25	Blacktown Spartans - Northern Tigers	1:3
20.07.24	Blacktown Spartans - Northern Tigers	2:0
13.04.24	Northern Tigers - Blacktown Spartans	0:1

Northern Tigers - Blacktown Spartans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide