Match Info

NSW League One - Round 23

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	Central Coast Mariners U23		Blacktown Spartans

	1	X	2
	3.70	4.33	1.62
	3.50	3.90	1.76
	3.60	4.46	1.65
	3.62	4.58	1.67	Watch
	3.50	4.40	1.62
	3.83	4.49	1.68
	3.70	4.20	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.9)	4.34 ↑ (3.7)	1.67 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Coast Mariners U23
24.9%

Draw
20.9%

Blacktown Spartans
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

24.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

24.3%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Coast Mariners U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Coast Mariners U23's form might have worsened.

Blacktown Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Blacktown Spartans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners U23 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Coast Mariners U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blacktown Spartans than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Blacktown Spartans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Central Coast Mariners U23 - Blacktown Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
43', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW).

Central Coast U23 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Blacktown Spartans is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Blacktown Spartans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Blacktown Spartans is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Central Coast U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Blacktown Spartans - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 44.84%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Coast Mariners U23
Australian NSW League One
05.07.26	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Rydalmere Lions	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Canterbury Bankstown - Central Coast Mariners U23	6:0 ✺
20.06.26	Bankstown City Lions - Central Coast Mariners U23	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Hakoah Sydney City East	2:2 ✺
06.06.26	Dulwich Hill - Central Coast Mariners U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTT
- Blacktown Spartans
Australian NSW League One
04.07.26	Blacktown Spartans - Newcastle Jets U23	7:2 ✺
26.06.26	Blacktown Spartans - Rydalmere Lions	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Dulwich Hill - Blacktown Spartans	1:1 ✺
12.06.26	Blacktown Spartans - Bankstown City Lions	4:1 ✺
06.06.26	Hakoah Sydney City East - Blacktown Spartans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
27.03.26	Blacktown Spartans - Central Coast Mariners U23	4:1

Central Coast Mariners U23 - Blacktown Spartans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide