Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NSW League One - Round 26

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday


	Northern Tigers		Nepean

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	4
	1.66	4.18	4.04	Watch
	1.57	3.9	4.2
	1.18	7	9.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.65)	4.77 ↑ (4.2)	5.39 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Tigers
62.7%

Draw
19.8%

Nepean
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

21.8%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

20.8%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northern Tigers's performance.

Nepean has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nepean might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northern Tigers than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nepean than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Northern Tigers - Nepean Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 🟥,
74', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Northern Tigers is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nepean has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nepean could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Northern Tigers is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Northern Tigers won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Tigers FC
Australian NSW League One
24.07.24	Northern Tigers - Dulwich Hill	4:2 ✺
20.07.24	Blacktown Spartans - Northern Tigers	2:0 ✺
13.07.24	Northern Tigers - Inter Lions	4:2 ✺
10.07.24	Northern Tigers - Bankstown City Lions	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Northern Tigers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLWTW
- Nepean FC
Australian NSW League One
19.07.24	Nepean - Dulwich Hill	0:5 ✺
13.07.24	Hakoah Sydney City East - Nepean	4:0 ✺
05.07.24	Blacktown Spartans - Nepean	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Bonnyrigg White Eagles - Nepean	1:0 ✺
21.06.24	Nepean - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
19.04.24	Nepean - Northern Tigers	1:2

Northern Tigers - Nepean: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide