Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 21

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadium Metallurg (Novotroitsk)


	Nosta Novotroitsk		Amkar Perm

	1	X	2
	8.55	3.95	1.37
	6.5	3.95	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.53 ↓ (7.65)	3.95 ↓ (4.75)	1.36 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nosta Novotroitsk
11.9%

Draw
22.6%

Amkar Perm
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.9%

19.2%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

15.8%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Nosta Novotroitsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Amkar Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nosta Novotroitsk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amkar Perm than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amkar Perm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nosta Novotroitsk - Amkar Perm Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Amkar (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Amkar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shalonikov M. (G) 26. Batyrshin D. 31. Borodovitsin V. 13. Boyko D. 10. Chamzhaev D. 18. Davydenko A. 7. Dzyon V. 17. Galkin V. 32. Karavalliev R. 4. Kononykin A. 8. Vainer A.	1. Kolesov N. (G) 14. Chushyalov D. 11. Dibirgadzhiev D. 4. Gallyamov E. 20. Kalayda D. 10. Korolkov K. 33. Myrzakov K. 44. Sukhoruchenko M. 30. Takazov S. 7. Tyukalov E. 77. Zuev D.
Substitutes
21. Abramov V. 6. Dzhebov A. 30. Khasyanov A. 25. Rajin Y. 12. Sarapultsev K. 33. Sivolapov A. (G) 20. Telenkov N. 15. Vereshchak P.	35. Aysin M. (G) 95. Chernyshev A. 97. Goldobin N. 17. Kozhin M. 45. Pridyuk A. 6. Tolkachev L. 3. Zhilov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Galkin V. ↓, Razhin Y. ↑,
21', Batyrshin D. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Tyukalov E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Davydenko A. ↓, Andreev D. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Boyko D. ⚽,
50', Korolkov K. 🟨,
50', Vainer A. 🟨,
60', Andreev D. 🟨,
64', Chamzhaev D. 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Gallyamov E. ⚽,
67', Kalayda D. ↓, Kozhin M. ↑,
67', Korolkov K. ↓, Tolkachev L. ↑,
73', Batyrshin D. ↓, Urazov T. ↑,
78', Dibirgadzhiev D. ↓, Goldobin N. ↑,
82', Boyko D. ↓, Khasyanov A. ↑,
82', Rajin Y. ↓, Vereshchak P. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nosta won 1.

Nosta is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Amkar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Amkar is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nosta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Nosta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nosta Novotroitsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
07.09.25	Ural 2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Nosta Novotroitsk - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Rubin 2 Kazan - Nosta Novotroitsk	3:0 ✺
18.08.25	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Nosta Novotroitsk - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Amkar Perm
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
07.09.25	Amkar Perm - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Amkar Perm	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
20.08.25	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Amkar Perm	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
17.08.25	Volna Kovernino - Amkar Perm	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Amkar Perm - KDV Tomsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
08.06.25	Amkar Perm - Nosta Novotroitsk	5:0
03.08.24	Amkar Perm - Nosta Novotroitsk	0:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
09.10.22	Nosta Novotroitsk - Amkar Perm	1:2
02.10.22	Amkar Perm - Nosta Novotroitsk	1:0
23.10.21	Nosta Novotroitsk - Amkar Perm	1:0
17.10.21	Amkar Perm - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:0

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