Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday


	Nosta Novotroitsk		Chelyabinsk 2

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.09	4.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.87)	3.09 ↑ (3)	4.96 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nosta Novotroitsk
51.4%

Draw
29.9%

Chelyabinsk 2
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

30.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

30.3%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nosta Novotroitsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Chelyabinsk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nosta Novotroitsk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk 2 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Kamyshev I. (Penalty Awarded),
35', 2 - 0, Bakhysh-Zade A. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Vainer A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Nosta is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Chelyabinsk 2 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Nosta is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Nosta has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nosta against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nosta Novotroitsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
13.09.26	Rubin 2 Kazan - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Nosta Novotroitsk - Ural 2	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Izhevsk - Nosta Novotroitsk	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
26.08.26	Nosta Novotroitsk - Sokol Saratov	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
23.08.26	Nosta Novotroitsk - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWLT
- FC Chelyabinsk 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
13.09.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Izhevsk	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Rubin 2 Kazan	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Orenburg-2 - Chelyabinsk 2	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Orenburg-2 - Chelyabinsk 2	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Rubin 2 Kazan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
31.05.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	1:1
28.09.25	Nosta Novotroitsk - Chelyabinsk 2	0:1
22.06.25	Chelyabinsk 2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	1:1

Nosta Novotroitsk - Chelyabinsk 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide