Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Orenburg-2		Chelyabinsk 2

	1	X	2
	1.54	4.14	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.57)	4.14 ↑ (3.9)	5.35 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg-2
60.2%

Draw
22.4%

Chelyabinsk 2
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.5%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

17.1%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg-2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Chelyabinsk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg-2 than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orenburg-2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk 2 than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelyabinsk 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Orenburg-2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chelyabinsk 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Orenburg-2 is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Orenburg-2 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg-2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg-2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
23.08.26	Orenburg-2 - Chelyabinsk 2	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Orenburg-2	2:1 ✺
02.08.26	KDV Tomsk - Orenburg-2	2:1 ✺
27.07.26	Orenburg-2 - Krylya Sovetov 2	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Orenburg-2 - Rubin 2 Kazan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLTT
- FC Chelyabinsk 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
23.08.26	Orenburg-2 - Chelyabinsk 2	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Rubin 2 Kazan	3:2 ✺
03.08.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Dynamo Barnaul	2:3 ✺
26.07.26	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Chelyabinsk 2	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
23.08.26	Orenburg-2 - Chelyabinsk 2	2:1
05.04.26	Chelyabinsk 2 - Orenburg-2	0:0
17.08.25	Orenburg-2 - Chelyabinsk 2	0:0
11.05.25	Chelyabinsk 2 - Orenburg-2	0:2

Orenburg-2 - Chelyabinsk 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide