Match Info

Date: 12 September 2021, Sunday


	Nosta Novotroitsk		Chelyabinsk

	1	X	2
	8.25	5	1.28
	7.2	4.2	1.35
	8	4.8	1.26
	8.37	4.66	1.26
	10.25	5.65	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.41 ↑ (4.67)	4.86 ↑ (3.65)	1.28 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nosta Novotroitsk
10.7%

Draw
18.6%

Chelyabinsk
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

24.3%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

19.7%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nosta Novotroitsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nosta Novotroitsk's form might have worsened.

Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chelyabinsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nosta Novotroitsk than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Nosta Novotroitsk - Chelyabinsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL).

Nosta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chelyabinsk is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Last 19 head-to-head matches Nosta won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Nosta won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nosta Novotroitsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
05.09.21	Nosta Novotroitsk - Zenit Izhevsk	1:0 ✺
29.08.21	Zvezda Perm - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:0 ✺
21.08.21	Lada Togliatti - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:2 ✺
15.08.21	Volga Ulyanovsk - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:1 ✺
07.08.21	Nosta Novotroitsk - Dynamo Barnaul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLTLL
- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
05.09.21	Chelyabinsk - Irtysh Omsk	4:1 ✺
02.09.21	Chelyabinsk - Dynamo Barnaul	2:1 ✺
21.08.21	Amkar Perm - Chelyabinsk	0:1 ✺
07.08.21	Novosibirsk - Chelyabinsk	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
28.07.21	Torpedo Miass - Chelyabinsk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 4
18.05.21	Nosta Novotroitsk - Chelyabinsk	0:3
29.08.20	Chelyabinsk - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:1
Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
05.09.19	Nosta Novotroitsk - Chelyabinsk	0:2
Club Friendly
06.07.19	Chelyabinsk - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:2
Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
04.11.18	Nosta Novotroitsk - Chelyabinsk	1:0
02.09.18	Chelyabinsk - Nosta Novotroitsk	1:2
Russian Cup
30.07.18	Chelyabinsk - Nosta Novotroitsk	1:0 penalties

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