Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 15

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Trud stadium (Miass)


	Torpedo Miass		Chelyabinsk

	1	X	2
	8.1	5.2	1.24
	7.95	5.2	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.03 ↑ (7.9)	5.2 ↑ (4.55)	1.26 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Miass
11.2%

Draw
17.3%

Chelyabinsk
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.5%

20%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11%

19.1%

71.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Miass has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Miass than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Torpedo Miass - Chelyabinsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Kovalev R. (G) 4. Adeniyi S. 90. Borisenko G. 11. Golubtsov A. 22. Kuzmin D. 5. Lopatko E. 84. Molteninov I. 62. Ofitserov M. 44. Osipov D. 18. Palkin V. 7. Zamyatin D.	50. Sugrobov V. (G) 87. Bozhenov K. 5. Gatin B. 66. Gudkov Y. 18. Kertanov K. 19. Komissarov T. 70. Levin G. 20. Pomerko A. 55. Rogochiy B. 8. Sokolov A. 17. Uljanovskiy V.
Substitutes
14. Amelin A. 19. Badrtdinov I. 49. Bykov V. 33. Fedosyuk V. 97. Filippov R. (G) 74. Kazimir M. 68. Pavlov D. 17. Shvedov A.	47. Glukhov E. 33. Gorbachik V. 10. Gruznov I. 2. Khozin V. 63. Nikitenkov A. 11. Nosov A. 22. Pokotylo D. 15. Pushkarev D. 77. Samoilov D. 13. Tushin A. 1. Zadiraka V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Sokolov A. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Uljanovskiy V. ↓, Nosov A. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Ofitserov M. ⚽,
64', Bozhenov K. ↓, Samoilov D. ↑,
64', Levin G. ↓, Gorbachik V. ↑,
75', Komissarov T. ↓, Pushkarev D. ↑,
78', Gorbachik V. 🟨,
81', Molteninov I. ↓, Fedosyuk V. ↑,
83', Zamyatin D. ↓, Amelin A. ↑,
88', Borisenko G. ↓, Badrtdinov I. ↑,
88', Kovalev R. 🟨,
89', 2 - 0, Badrtdinov I. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Miass won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Chelyabinsk is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Miass won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo Miass won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Miass
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
24.05.25	Spartak Kostroma - Torpedo Miass	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Torpedo Miass - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:4 ✺
11.05.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Torpedo Miass	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Torpedo Miass - Leningradets	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Torpedo Miass	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LLWTT
- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
24.05.25	Chelyabinsk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Chelyabinsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:5 ✺
11.05.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chelyabinsk	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Chelyabinsk - Kuban Krasnodar	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Leningradets - Chelyabinsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
13.04.25	Chelyabinsk - Torpedo Miass	1:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
14.05.23	Torpedo Miass - Chelyabinsk	1:1
09.10.22	Chelyabinsk - Torpedo Miass	2:1
02.10.22	Torpedo Miass - Chelyabinsk	0:2
23.10.21	Chelyabinsk - Torpedo Miass	2:0
17.10.21	Torpedo Miass - Chelyabinsk	0:1
Russian Cup
28.07.21	Torpedo Miass - Chelyabinsk	2:0

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