Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 17

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday


	Krylya Sovetov 2		Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.15	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.42)	3.15 ↓ (3.19)	2.45 ↓ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 12.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krylya Sovetov 2
35.7%

Draw
28.1%

Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

27.7%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

26.5%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krylya Sovetov 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov 2 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil than the current prediction. (-2%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Beltyukov D. (G) 76. Bober I. 63. Chistyakov E. 65. Gribakin I. 72. Ivlev N. 29. Karpitskiy E. 33. Lysov A. 82. Popov K. 56. Radaev A. 59. Saveljev D. 89. Zagorodnikov A.	1. Moskovets M. (G) 13. Antipov N. 31. Burykin K. 8. Chuvilov V. 40. Gorin M. 25. Khokhlov D. 5. Krotov S. 55. Lauk M. 10. Serchenkov S. 3. Smolnikov M. 14. Zubarev E.
Substitutes
68. Azbukin A. 85. Belikov A. 96. Borisov E. 71. Nedospasov M. (G) 74. Serebryakov A. 44. Volkov G.	44. Abdrashitov T. 26. Anisimov A. 98. Dmitryuk A. 17. Galimov A. 83. Geykin G. 33. Musin A. 70. Sharafutdinov R. 72. Surmiy R. 24. Tarasov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Popov K. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Gribakin I. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Serchenkov S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
68', Serchenkov S. ↓, Abdrashitov T. ↑,
68', Khokhlov D. ↓, Dmitryuk A. ↑,
68', Chistyakov E. ↓, Azbukin A. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Bober I. ⚽,
76', Burykin K. ↓, Galimov A. ↑,
77', Ivlev N. 🟨,
77', 3 - 2, Dmitryuk A. ⚽,
82', Lauk M. ↓, Sharafutdinov R. ↑,
85', 3 - 3, Zagorodnikov A. (Own goal),
90+3', Saveljev D. ↓, Belikov A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Uralets-TS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Uralets-TS has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Krylya Sovetov 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Krylya Sovetov 2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
11.08.25	Rubin 2 Kazan - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	3:2 ✺
27.07.25	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Sokol Kazan - Krylya Sovetov 2	2:3 ✺
29.06.25	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Volna Kovernino	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWLWL
- Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil
Russian Cup
07.08.25	Temp Barnaul - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	3:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
03.08.25	Volna Kovernino - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - KDV Tomsk	0:0 ✺
07.07.25	Chelyabinsk 2 - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	0:1 ✺
03.07.25	KDV Tomsk - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
11.05.25	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:0
07.09.24	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	3:2

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