Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Idrettsparken Notodden (Notodden)


	Notodden		Mjøndalen

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.40	2.35
	2.98	3.55	2.1
	2.58	3.41	2.51
	2.58	3.71	2.38	Watch
	2.50	3.30	2.30
	2.5	3.34	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.72)	3.45 ↓ (3.49)	2.34 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notodden
34.9%

Draw
26.3%

Mjøndalen
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

26.1%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

25.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notodden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+3%)

Notodden - Mjøndalen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Solas S. O. (G) 32. Andersen J. 20. Bjerkan B. 8. Jorgensen S. 17. Kalstad A. 6. Larsen S. 3. Osen H. H. (C) 10. Pettersen A. 23. Ryste A. 2. Svendby C. 27. Wenneberg M.	1. Klausen P. (G) 6. Bjornebye T. (C) 9. Bringaker M. 11. Bruusgaard J. 14. Flem T. 27. Kekeli K. 3. Kristiansen E. 8. Marthinussen S. 7. Midtgard O. 17. Solberg J. 5. Sundo B.
Substitutes
5. Ahmed M. 12. Bergesen J. (G) 14. Foss-Erstad T. 4. Hammerli J. 9. Leandersson E. 22. Nordbo T. 15. Rasberg S. 7. Sersland A. 19. Svarstad S.	31. Amrani W. 13. Bro P. S. (G) 28. Nicol L. A. 10. Singh K. 15. Steinset K. 34. Ween L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Larsen S. 🟨,
45', Wenneberg M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Svendby C. 🟨,
48', 0 - 1, Marthinussen S. ⚽,
51', 🟨,
62', 0 - 2, Midtgard O. ⚽,
63', Kalstad A. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
65', Ryste A. ↓, Leandersson E. ↑,
76', Larsen S. ↓, Nordbo T. ↑,
84', Bruusgaard J. ↓, Steinset K. ↑,
86', Svendby C. ↓, Svarstad S. ↑,
86', Andersen J. ↓, Sersland A. ↑,
90+3', Marthinussen S. 🟨,
90+3', Bringaker M. ↓, Singh K. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Osen H. H. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notodden won 1.

In recent matches, Notodden has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mjøndalen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Notodden won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Notodden won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Mjondalen	22	14	2	6	43:28	15	44
6	Notodden	22	10	5	7	31:20	11	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
14.06.26	Lysekloster - Notodden	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Notodden - Jerv	0:0 ✺
25.05.26	Brattvåg - Notodden	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Pors - Notodden	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Notodden - Kvik Halden	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLWT
- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.06.26	Mjøndalen - Kvik Halden	3:3 ✺
31.05.26	Pors - Mjøndalen	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Mjøndalen - Sandviken	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	Eik-Tønsberg - Mjøndalen	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Mjøndalen - Vidar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.03.25	Mjøndalen - Notodden	2:1
Norwegian NM Cup
01.08.21	Notodden - Mjøndalen	0:3
Club Friendly
18.01.19	Notodden - Mjøndalen	1:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.09.18	Mjøndalen - Notodden	1:1
03.07.18	Notodden - Mjøndalen	1:0
Club Friendly
04.03.17	Mjøndalen - Notodden	Canceled
Norwegian NM Cup
03.06.15	Notodden - Mjøndalen	1:4

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