Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 12

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Stemmemyren Kunstgressbane (Bergen)


	Sandviken		Notodden

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.30	2.15
	3.15	3.45	2.05
	3.5	3.65	2.04
	2.94	3.62	2.21	Watch
	3.25	3.6	2.01
	3.03	3.86	2.09
	3.15	3.45	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.48)	3.56 ↑ (3.25)	2.08 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandviken
29.7%

Draw
25.9%

Notodden
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.1%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandviken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sandviken's form might have worsened.

Notodden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notodden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandviken than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sandviken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notodden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sandviken - Notodden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klausen M. (G) 3. Bergstrom A. 11. Engen B. 20. Hellevik Lie J. 8. Hodne O. 9. Hoynes V. 22. Huesa S. 6. Kamanzi L. 14. Njos A. 19. Stakset H. S. 10. Tune S. (C)	1. Solas S. O. (G) 5. Ahmed M. 20. Bjerkan B. 4. Hammerli J. (C) 8. Jorgensen S. 6. Larsen S. 9. Leandersson E. 3. Osen H. H. 10. Pettersen A. 2. Svendby C. 27. Wenneberg M.
Substitutes
16. Abdulle A. 17. Garmann K. 30. Gjesdahl T. 12. Haugland A. H. (G) 18. Oliver Kvalheim M. 4. Saele Rune T. 2. Thoresen T. 21. Thorsen C.	32. Andersen J. 12. Bergesen J. (G) 17. Kalstad A. 22. Nordbo T. 23. Ryste A. 7. Sersland A. 19. Svarstad S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Leandersson E. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Ahmed M. ⚽,
37', Osen H. H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Hodne O. ↓, Thoresen T. ↑,
70', 0 - 3, Leandersson E. ⚽,
72', Pettersen A. ↓, Nordbo T. ↑,
72', Bergstrom A. ↓, Saele Rune T. ↑,
72', Hellevik Lie J. ↓, Garmann K. ↑,
73', Saele Rune T. 🟨,
73', Garmann K. 🟨,
81', Svendby C. ↓, Svarstad S. ↑,
87', Osen H. H. ↓, Andersen J. ↑,
89', 0 - 4, Nordbo T. ⚽,
90+2', Bjerkan B. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).

Sandviken has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Notodden has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sandviken won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Sandviken won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Notodden	22	10	5	7	31:20	11	35
11	Sandviken	22	7	4	11	33:45	-12	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Sandviken
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
20.06.26	Sandviken - Lysekloster	2:3 ✺
14.06.26	Jerv - Sandviken	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Sandviken - Brattvåg	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Mjøndalen - Sandviken	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	Kvik Halden - Sandviken	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLWLT
- Notodden
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
20.06.26	Notodden - Mjøndalen	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Lysekloster - Notodden	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Notodden - Jerv	0:0 ✺
25.05.26	Brattvåg - Notodden	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Pors - Notodden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
31.08.25	Notodden - Sandviken	0:1
10.05.25	Sandviken - Notodden	2:2

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