Match Info

Serie D - Round 5

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Janio Moraes (Rio de Janeiro)


	Nova Iguaçu		Velo Clube

	1	X	2
	2.36	2.94	2.93
	2.41	2.96	3	Watch
	2.4	2.75	2.8
	2.28	3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.32)	2.91 ↓ (2.97)	2.97 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Iguaçu
38.4%

Draw
31.1%

Velo Clube
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

30.7%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

31%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Velo Clube has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Nova Iguaçu - Velo Clube Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', 🟥,

Preview

Nova Iguaçu has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Velo Clube's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	EC Noroeste - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Nova Iguaçu - Maricá	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Piracicaba - Nova Iguaçu	4:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	Nova Iguaçu - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL
- Velo Clube
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Velo Clube - EC Noroeste	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Piracicaba - Velo Clube	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Velo Clube - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Maricá - Velo Clube	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.03.26	Velo Clube - Vila Nova	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWLL

Nova Iguaçu - Velo Clube: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide