Match Info
Serie D - Round 1Date: 4 April 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra (Piracicaba)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Piracicaba |
|
Nova Iguaçu |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.16 |
2.89 |
3.56 |
|
 |
1.06 |
10.40 |
25.00 |
 Watch |
 |
2.15 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.14 |
2.86 |
3.52 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(2.57) |
4.71 ↑
(2.94) |
8.87 ↑
(2.59) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Piracicaba
62.1% | Draw
24.7% | Nova Iguaçu
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Piracicaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piracicaba's performance.Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nova Iguaçu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (-27.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piracicaba that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+21.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nova Iguaçu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Piracicaba - Nova Iguaçu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, David Ribeiro ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 0, dos Santos de Almeida R. ⚽,
- 45+3', 3 - 0, Henry ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', 3 - 1, Xandinho ⚽,
- 77', 4 - 1, Gabriel A. ⚽,
Preview
Recent performances by Piracicaba have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Nova Iguaçu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Piracicaba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win. In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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