Match Info

BRAZIL: Capixaba - Round 6

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Zenor Pedrosa Rocha (Nova Venécia)


	Nova Venécia		Porto Vitória

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2
	3.45	3.2	2.01
	3.56	3.14	2.06
	3.58	3.18	2.02	Watch
	3.52	3.2	1.99
	3.45	3.2	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.48)	3.15 ↓ (3.16)	2.02 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nova Venécia
26%

Draw
28.8%

Porto Vitória
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

28.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

28%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Venécia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Porto Vitória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Venécia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Nova Venécia - Porto Vitória Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Flavio (G) 10. Alex Pixote 18. Darlan 2. Gustavo Toro 4. Lucas Tavares (C) 17. Matheusinho 6. Mauricio 9. Moroto 5. Parmanhani K. 3. Pedro Ibelli 16. Pepe	38. Leonardo Rodrigues (G) 8. Araujo 39. Athirson 19. Didira (C) 3. Ferrugem 9. Patrick 22. Thainler 6. Wilian Simoes 37. Willian Rocha 11. Xavier 25. Ze
Substitutes
14. Braian 8. Coutinho 13. Erik Moreira (G) 20. Gabriel Simiao 7. Gerson 15. Joao Gabriel 21. Matheus Santos 22. Podbang Casimir 19. Sandrinho 23. Thaylan 11. Waschington	1. Aydhan Martins (G) 14. Douglas Zielke 16. Elton 31. Gabriel Rossetto 21. Henrique Melo 7. Hitalo 12. Joao Pedro (G) 15. Joao Victor 77. Lessinho 10. Marquinhos 13. Taleco 23. Willyan Sotto

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Moroto ⚽,
25', Moroto 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Pepe ⚽,
45+3', Gustavo Toro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Xavier L. ↓, Lessinho ↑,
74', 🟨,
84', Matheusinho ↓, Waschington ↑,
90+5', Gabriel Rossetto 🟨,
90+7', Willyan Sotto 🟥,
90+7', Willyan Sotto 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 1, Lessinho ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nova Venécia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Porto Vitória will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nova Venécia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1.5:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Nova Venécia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Venécia FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
06.02.25	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Nova Venécia	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Vilavelhense - Nova Venécia	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Nova Venécia - Jaguare	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Capixaba SC - Nova Venécia	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Nova Venécia - Rio Branco AC ES	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTTW
- Porto Vitória
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
05.02.25	Porto Vitória - Jaguare	3:1 ✺
31.01.25	Capixaba SC - Porto Vitória	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Vitória ES - Porto Vitória	1:1 ✺
20.01.25	Porto Vitória - Noroeste	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
08.02.24	Nova Venécia - Porto Vitória	1:3
11.03.23	Porto Vitória - Nova Venécia	3:2

Nova Venécia - Porto Vitória: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide