Match Info

BRAZIL: Capixaba - Round 5

Date: 6 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Engenheiro Alencar Araripe (Cariacica)


	Desportiva Ferroviaria		Nova Venécia

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.2	4.2
	1.77	3.25	4.4
	1.8	3.25	4.46
	1.82	3.31	4.23	Watch
	1.77	3.24	4.44
	1.77	3.25	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.77)	3.25 ↓ (3.32)	4.36 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportiva Ferroviaria
51.1%

Draw
28%

Nova Venécia
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.5%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportiva Ferroviaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Nova Venécia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Desportiva Ferroviaria - Nova Venécia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Andrey Ventura (G) 8. Alex Galo 2. Arlen 7. Cassio 16. Gabriel Santos 9. Joao Guilherme 13. Mariano 26. Pedro Botelho (C) 3. Rodrigo Rocha 11. Vinicius Baiano 10. Ze Gatinha	12. Flavio (G) 10. Alex Pixote 8. Coutinho 5. Gabriel Fernandes (C) 20. Gabriel Simiao 15. Gerson 2. Gustavo Toro 4. Lucas Tavares 6. Mauricio 9. Moroto 14. Pedro Ibelli
Substitutes
32. Allan Camilatto (G) 5. Christopher 20. Davi Santos 19. Dede 18. Dutra Chagas H. 17. Kaykinho 15. Knupp 4. Lucimario 1. Max (G) 22. Neto 6. Romulo Silva 14. Weslen	18. Darlan 13. Erik Moreira (G) 17. Matheus Cazares 21. Matheus Santos 16. Pepe 22. Podbang Casimir 7. Rian 19. Sandrinho 23. Thaylan 11. Waschington

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Cassio ⚽,
27', Gustavo Toro 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Joao Guilherme ⚽,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gustavo Toro ↓, Pepe ↑,
46', Gabriel Simiao ↓, Matheus Santos ↑,
46', Arlen ↓, Weslen ↑,
46', Gerson ↓, Darlan ↑,
62', Alex Galo ↓, Knupp ↑,
69', Coutinho ↓, Waschington ↑,
69', Gabriel Fernandes ↓, Parmanhani K. ↑,
76', Cassio ↓, Davi Santos ↑,
76', Mariano ↓, Christopher ↑,
86', Pedro Ibelli 🟨,
90+6', Ze Gatinha 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Ferroviaria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferroviaria is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ferroviaria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:8 (average 0.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Ferroviaria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportiva Ferroviaria
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
02.02.25	Jaguare - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Capixaba SC	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Vitória ES	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
02.08.24	Porto Vitória - Desportiva Ferroviaria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTWL
- Nova Venécia FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
02.02.25	Vilavelhense - Nova Venécia	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Nova Venécia - Jaguare	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Capixaba SC - Nova Venécia	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Nova Venécia - Rio Branco AC ES	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Rio Branco AC ES - Nova Venécia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
17.02.24	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Nova Venécia	1:1
05.03.23	Nova Venécia - Desportiva Ferroviaria	2:0
10.04.22	Nova Venécia - Desportiva Ferroviaria	3:1
03.04.22	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Nova Venécia	0:2

Desportiva Ferroviaria - Nova Venécia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide